Sang-A Frontec상아프론테크
089980 · KOSDAQ · ₩089980 · 상아프론테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩45B
- Equity value
- −₩64B
- WACC
- 6.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩13,990, the model needs an operating margin of 13.3% every year (it uses 4.8%).
- 35% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 22.7× against a typical 47.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩2,971
- −78.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.8%).
Revenue growth
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 12.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 15.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.76
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.65, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩215B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩109B
- Shares
- 15,989,037
- Share price
- ₩13,990
- Market cap
- ₩224B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩184B | ₩172B | ₩196B | ₩221B | ₩227B | ₩233B | ₩240B | ₩247B |
| Growth | 1.3% | −6.5% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩9B | ₩5.8B | ₩6.7B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| EBIT margin | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩6.5B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.9B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B |
| − Capital spending | ₩29B | ₩28B | ₩30B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩39B |
| − Working capital | −₩880M | −₩16B | ₩12B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.9B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.9B | −₩2B | −₩2.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.936 | 0.875 | 0.819 | 0.766 | 0.717 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B |
Terminal value ₩73B, worth ₩53B today: 117% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,133 a share)Now 1.07× | ₩16,3991.25× | ₩23,5631.79× | ₩46,6043.55× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩616 a share)Now 22.7× | ₩16,05926.1× | ₩29,01747.1× | ₩40,42465.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,243 a share)Now 11.3× | ₩32,38926.1× | ₩58,52647.1× | ₩81,53365.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩224B
- Enterprise value
- ₩333B
- P/E
- 22.7×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩15,520 | ₩18,300 | ₩22,300 | ₩27,100 | ₩52,300 |
| Market cap | ₩248B | ₩293B | ₩357B | ₩433B | ₩836B |
| P/E | 36.7× | 47.5× | 29.7× | 58.4× | 89.9× |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.5× | 1.8× | 2.3× | 4.6× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.7× | 1.9× | 2.4× | 4.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | 1.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sang-A Frontec | 22.7× | 1.1× | 1.0× | — | 1.4% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology | 5.8× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 4.0% |
| Kumho Tire | 3.1× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Pum-Tech Korea | 20.1× | 2.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.7% |
| Dongwon Systems | 9.7× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 5.7× | 2.8% |
| Nexen Tire | 3.5× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 3.6% |
| PI Advanced Materials | 12.8× | 1.2× | 1.7× | 5.2× | 2.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.8× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 5.5× | 2.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sang-A Frontec / 상아프론테크 / 089980 / KRX:089980
Source: KRX statistical information