Robostar로보스타
090360 · KOSDAQ · ₩090360 · 로보스타
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,974
vs the current price (₩59,000)
- Enterprise value
- −₩2.1B
- Equity value
- ₩29B
- WACC
- 8.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 95% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩59,000, the model needs an operating margin of 64.3% every year (it uses −0.1%).
- Margins ranged from −7.5% to 1.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,076
- −96.5%
- Base
- ₩2,974
- −95.0%
- Bull
- ₩4,805
- −91.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.1%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 26.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.75
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.63, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩93B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩31B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩147M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 9,750,000
- Share price
- ₩59,000
- Market cap
- ₩575B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩103B | ₩89B | ₩76B | ₩84B | ₩78B | ₩76B | ₩76B | ₩78B |
| Growth | −28.3% | −13.2% | −15.0% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.1B | ₩149M | −₩5.7B | −₩84M | −₩78M | −₩76M | −₩76M | −₩78M |
| EBIT margin | 1.1% | 0.2% | −7.5% | −0.1% | −0.1% | −0.1% | −0.1% | −0.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩824M | ₩108M | −₩4.1B | −₩61M | −₩57M | −₩55M | −₩55M | −₩56M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩168M | ₩157M | ₩151M | ₩151M | ₩156M |
| − Capital spending | — | ₩140M | ₩352M | ₩252M | ₩235M | ₩227M | ₩227M | ₩234M |
| − Working capital | −₩5.8B | −₩1.6B | −₩781M | −₩2.5B | −₩1.5B | −₩739M | −₩41M | ₩610M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩608M | −₩90M | −₩744M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.924 | 0.854 | 0.789 | 0.729 | 0.673 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩480M | −₩65M | −₩501M |
Terminal value −₩8B, worth −₩5.4B today: 254% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,122 a share)Now 6.47× | ₩20,2752.22× | ₩28,9263.17× | ₩78,2008.57× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | ₩3,201 | ₩3,037 | ₩2,839 | ₩2,598 | ₩2,299 |
| 7.7% | ₩3,231 | ₩3,085 | ₩2,913 | ₩2,705 | ₩2,453 |
| 8.2% | ₩3,257 | ₩3,126 | ₩2,974 | ₩2,793 | ₩2,577 |
| 8.7% | ₩3,279 | ₩3,161 | ₩3,025 | ₩2,866 | ₩2,678 |
| 9.2% | ₩3,297 | ₩3,191 | ₩3,069 | ₩2,927 | ₩2,762 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩575B
- Enterprise value
- ₩544B
- P/E
- 1,473.3×
- P/B
- 6.5×
- P/S
- 6.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩80,100 | ₩21,900 | ₩29,800 | ₩18,650 | ₩26,550 |
| Market cap | ₩781B | ₩214B | ₩291B | ₩182B | ₩259B |
| P/E | — | 96.3× | 418.9× | 55.4× | 158.4× |
| P/B | 9.0× | 2.3× | 3.2× | 2.0× | 3.0× |
| P/S | 10.3× | 2.4× | 2.8× | 1.3× | 1.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robostar | 1,473.3× | 6.5× | 6.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Robostar / 로보스타 / 090360 / KRX:090360
Source: KRX statistical information