Hyunwooindustrialco현우산업
092300 · KOSDAQ · ₩092300 · 현우산업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,240
vs the current price (₩2,315)
- Enterprise value
- ₩157B
- Equity value
- ₩186B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 299% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,315, the model needs an operating margin of 0.9% every year (it uses 4.5%).
- Today's P/E is 4.0× against a typical 9.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,428
- +91.3%
- Base
- ₩9,240
- +299.1%
- Bull
- ₩17,730
- +665.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.5%).
Revenue growth
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.61
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.42, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩261B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩25B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 20,149,871
- Share price
- ₩2,315
- Market cap
- ₩47B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩237B | ₩206B | ₩237B | ₩272B | ₩283B | ₩293B | ₩303B | ₩312B |
| Growth | 13.1% | −13.1% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩14B | ₩7.7B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| EBIT margin | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩10B | ₩5.6B | ₩8B | ₩8.9B | ₩9.2B | ₩9.6B | ₩9.9B | ₩10B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.1B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.9B | ₩4.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩4.9B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.6B |
| − Working capital | ₩4.5B | −₩2.7B | −₩6.4B | ₩625M | ₩605M | ₩580M | ₩551M | ₩517M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩7.4B | ₩7.8B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.868 | 0.808 | 0.753 | 0.701 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.9B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.1B |
Terminal value ₩178B, worth ₩125B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩6,323 a share)Now 0.37× | ₩3,1250.49× | ₩4,9870.79× | ₩7,9711.26× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩572 a share)Now 4.05× | ₩2,9345.13× | ₩5,4179.48× | ₩11,94520.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩403 a share)Now 5.74× | ₩2,0705.13× | ₩3,8229.48× | ₩8,42720.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩9,640 | ₩10,281 | ₩11,067 | ₩12,056 | ₩13,339 |
| 6.9% | ₩8,921 | ₩9,438 | ₩10,060 | ₩10,823 | ₩11,784 |
| 7.4% | ₩8,315 | ₩8,739 | ₩9,240 | ₩9,844 | ₩10,586 |
| 7.9% | ₩7,798 | ₩8,150 | ₩8,561 | ₩9,048 | ₩9,635 |
| 8.4% | ₩7,352 | ₩7,647 | ₩7,989 | ₩8,388 | ₩8,861 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩47B
- Enterprise value
- ₩21B
- P/E
- 4.0×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,200 | ₩2,575 | ₩4,130 | ₩4,400 | ₩5,350 |
| Market cap | ₩64B | ₩52B | ₩83B | ₩89B | ₩108B |
| P/E | 8.5× | 6.2× | 8.0× | 19.0× | — |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 1.0× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.2% | 1.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyunwooindustrialco | 4.0× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 3.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 88.7× | 8.7× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 34.5× | 4.9× | 0.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 65.1× | 2.5× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 11.6× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 0.6% |
| Isupetasys | 30.8× | 7.2× | 4.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 38.8× | 6.0× | 4.4× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 36.6× | 5.5× | 3.6× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hyunwooindustrialco / 현우산업 / 092300 / KRX:092300
Source: KRX statistical information