Hanla IMS한라IMS
092460 · KOSDAQ · ₩092460 · 한라IMS
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩13,414
vs the current price (₩13,900)
- Enterprise value
- ₩252B
- Equity value
- ₩230B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,365
- −47.0%
- Base
- ₩13,414
- −3.5%
- Bull
- ₩24,007
- +72.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.9%).
Revenue growth
- 10.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.37, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩153B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩24B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.5B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 17,109,680
- Share price
- ₩13,900
- Market cap
- ₩238B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩79B | ₩104B | ₩133B | ₩170B | ₩184B | ₩197B | ₩207B | ₩213B |
| Growth | −20.0% | 32.0% | 28.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.4B | ₩16B | ₩22B | ₩20B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩25B | ₩25B |
| EBIT margin | 6.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.9B | ₩12B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.6B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B |
| − Working capital | ₩23B | ₩30B | −₩55B | ₩6.5B | ₩5.9B | ₩5B | ₩3.9B | ₩2.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩5.4B | ₩7.1B | ₩8.8B | ₩11B | ₩12B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.872 | 0.814 | 0.760 | 0.709 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.1B | ₩6.2B | ₩7.2B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.9B |
Terminal value ₩305B, worth ₩216B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,918 a share)Now 1.17× | ₩7,9100.66× | ₩11,5120.97× | ₩16,8601.41× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,656 a share)Now 8.39× | ₩2,5071.51× | ₩18,07810.9× | ₩23,46614.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,955 a share)Now 7.11× | ₩2,9601.51× | ₩21,34010.9× | ₩27,70014.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩14,687 | ₩15,858 | ₩17,311 | ₩19,160 | ₩21,600 |
| 6.6% | ₩13,126 | ₩14,040 | ₩15,149 | ₩16,523 | ₩18,273 |
| 7.1% | ₩11,824 | ₩12,550 | ₩13,414 | ₩14,461 | ₩15,760 |
| 7.6% | ₩10,722 | ₩11,305 | ₩11,990 | ₩12,806 | ₩13,795 |
| 8.1% | ₩9,777 | ₩10,252 | ₩10,802 | ₩11,448 | ₩12,216 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩238B
- Enterprise value
- ₩261B
- P/E
- 8.4×
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩17,000 | ₩8,150 | ₩6,630 | ₩5,790 | ₩5,070 |
| Market cap | ₩291B | ₩139B | ₩113B | ₩99B | ₩87B |
| P/E | 11.4× | 10.2× | 1.6× | 12.3× | 21.7× |
| P/B | 1.5× | 0.8× | 0.7× | 1.0× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 2.2× | 1.3× | 1.4× | 1.0× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | 14.1× | 98.5× |
| Dividend yield | 3.6% | 3.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanla IMS | 8.4× | 1.2× | 1.5× | — | 4.5% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries | 12.2× | 2.9× | 1.4× | — | 1.9% |
| Hanwha Ocean | 7.8× | 2.2× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Heavy Industries | 25.5× | 3.0× | 1.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Daehan Shipbuilding | 4.7× | 1.2× | 1.1× | — | 0.7% |
| Sejin Heavy Industries | 6.6× | 1.7× | 1.1× | — | 3.0% |
| Hyundai Hyms | 14.5× | 1.4× | 1.4× | — | 1.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.0× | 1.9× | 1.2× | — | 1.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hanla IMS / 한라IMS / 092460 / KRX:092460
Source: KRX statistical information