Hyungji Elite형지엘리트
093240 · KOSPI · ₩093240 · 형지엘리트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6,185
vs the current price (₩1,416)
- Enterprise value
- ₩94B
- Equity value
- ₩76B
- WACC
- 5.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 337% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,416, the model needs an operating margin of 2.0% every year (it uses 3.4%).
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩6,185
- +336.8%
- Bull
- ₩21,212
- +1,398.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.4%).
Revenue growth
- 6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 36.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.66, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (FY 2025)
- ₩167B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩25B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,278,051
- Share price
- ₩1,416
- Market cap
- ₩17B
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩94B | ₩133B | ₩167B | ₩178B | ₩188B | ₩197B | ₩205B | ₩211B |
| Growth | −31.2% | 40.5% | 25.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.5B | ₩7B | ₩6.6B | ₩6B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.7B | ₩7B | ₩7.2B |
| EBIT margin | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.8B | ₩5.1B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B | ₩5.2B |
| + Depreciation | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.6B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩309M | ₩245M | ₩1.5B | ₩889M | ₩941M | ₩986M | ₩1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Working capital | ₩14B | −₩867M | ₩37B | ₩4.1B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.3B |
| Free cash flow | −₩9.9B | ₩8.1B | −₩32B | ₩2.8B | ₩3.5B | ₩4.3B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.949 | 0.901 | 0.855 | 0.812 | 0.770 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.6B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.7B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.5B |
Terminal value ₩98B, worth ₩76B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,283 a share)Now 0.19× | ₩4,7500.65× | ₩7,6931.06× | ₩13,9321.91× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q4 2025 × 4: ₩177 a share)Now 7.98× | ₩1,3387.54× | ₩2,55714.4× | ₩8,02645.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | ₩8,010 | ₩8,539 | ₩9,281 | ₩10,409 | ₩12,348 |
| 4.9% | ₩6,792 | ₩7,081 | ₩7,463 | ₩7,997 | ₩8,804 |
| 5.4% | ₩5,852 | ₩6,000 | ₩6,185 | ₩6,425 | ₩6,758 |
| 5.9% | ₩5,105 | ₩5,165 | ₩5,235 | ₩5,319 | ₩5,424 |
| 6.4% | ₩4,497 | ₩4,502 | ₩4,502 | ₩4,497 | ₩4,484 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩17B
- Enterprise value
- ₩35B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- 3.8×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,490 | ₩8,967 | ₩6,048 | ₩5,716 | ₩16,385 |
| Market cap | ₩104B | ₩110B | ₩74B | ₩70B | ₩201B |
| P/E | — | 17.3× | 37.2× | 8.7× | — |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.5× | 1.1× | 1.0× | 3.3× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.5× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.2× | 11.8× | 17.4× | 10.3× | 118.5× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hyungji Elite / 형지엘리트 / 093240 / KRX:093240
Source: KRX statistical information