Kinx

093320 · KOSDAQ · ₩093320 · 케이아이엔엑스

₩176,800▼ ₩600 (0.34%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩97,631

vs the current price (₩176,800)

Enterprise value
₩507B
Equity value
₩476B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 45% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩176,800, the model needs an operating margin of 32.9% every year (it uses 20.2%).
  • Or revenue growth +14.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 15.0% to 23.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 35.7× against a typical 18.7× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩60,396
−65.8%
Base
₩97,631
−44.8%
Bull
₩159,306
−9.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (20.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 12.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 10.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 20.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 13.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 19%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 10.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩166B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩12B
+ Stakes and investments
₩24B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩43B
Shares
4,880,000
Share price
₩176,800
Market cap
₩863B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩123B₩139B₩159B₩187B₩206B₩223B₩235B₩242B
Growth10.6%13.2%14.6%12.8%10.4%7.9%5.5%3.0%
EBIT₩27B₩24B₩24B₩38B₩42B₩45B₩47B₩49B
EBIT margin21.7%17.1%15.0%20.2%20.2%20.2%20.2%20.2%
After-tax EBIT₩19B₩17B₩17B₩27B₩30B₩33B₩34B₩35B
+ Depreciation₩15B₩18B₩25B₩25B₩28B₩30B₩32B₩33B
− Capital spending₩2.2B₩50B—₩36B₩39B₩42B₩45B₩46B
− Working capital−₩40B−₩16B₩25B₩2.1B₩2B₩1.6B₩1.2B₩712M
Free cash flow₩71B₩450M—₩15B₩17B₩19B₩20B₩21B
Discount factor———0.9320.8690.8100.7550.704
Present value———₩14B₩15B₩15B₩15B₩15B

Terminal value ₩614B, worth ₩432B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩43,968 a share)Now 4.02×₩83,2191.89×₩95,6882.18×₩131,4172.99×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,947 a share)Now 35.7×₩58,71111.9×₩92,38218.7×₩147,26629.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩5,224 a share)Now 33.8×₩61,99111.9×₩97,54418.7×₩155,49429.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩102,119₩111,960₩124,104₩139,471₩159,542
6.8%₩91,894₩99,847₩109,466₩121,337₩136,358
7.3%₩83,321₩89,857₩97,631₩107,034₩118,639
7.8%₩76,032₩81,480₩87,870₩95,470₩104,663
8.3%₩69,763₩74,358₩79,684₩85,931₩93,362

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩863B
Enterprise value
₩875B
P/E
35.7×
P/B
4.0×
P/S
5.2×
EV/EBITDA
15.6×
Dividend yield
0.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩121,100₩76,500₩99,700₩54,600₩49,950
Market cap₩591B₩373B₩487B₩266B₩244B
P/E34.6×20.7×19.7×10.4×15.4×
P/B2.9×2.0×2.9×1.8×2.0×
P/S3.7×2.7×4.0×2.4×2.9×
EV/EBITDA12.7×9.7×10.9×6.2×7.4×
Dividend yield0.5%0.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kinx35.7×4.0×5.2×15.6×0.3%
NAVER13.0×0.9×2.0×—1.5%
Kakao37.7×1.1×1.6×—0.3%
Daou Technology1.9×0.4×0.0×—5.6%
NICE Information Service11.7×2.1×1.6×6.9×2.9%
Cafe2411.1×1.5×1.2×—0.0%
coocon10.8×1.3×3.4×—1.3%
Similar companies (median)11.4×1.2×1.6×—1.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kinx / 케이아이엔엑스 / 093320 / KRX:093320

Source: KRX statistical information