Foosung후성
093370 · KOSPI · ₩093370 · 후성
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩223B
- Equity value
- −₩82B
- WACC
- 8.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,300, the model needs an operating margin of 27.6% every year (it uses 6.5%).
- Or revenue growth +58.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −8.8% to 17.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 30.3× against a typical 30.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩1,375
- −86.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.5%).
Revenue growth
- -8.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 12.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 15.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.87
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.81, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩570B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩245B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩69B
- Shares
- 107,255,330
- Share price
- ₩10,300
- Market cap
- ₩1.1T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩523B | ₩438B | ₩472B | ₩523B | ₩494B | ₩482B | ₩482B | ₩497B |
| Growth | −14.3% | −16.3% | 7.7% | −8.3% | −5.4% | −2.6% | 0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩46B | −₩9.6B | ₩25B | ₩34B | ₩32B | ₩31B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| EBIT margin | −8.8% | −2.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩33B | −₩6.9B | ₩18B | ₩25B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩23B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩65B | ₩62B | ₩60B | ₩60B | ₩62B |
| − Capital spending | ₩106B | ₩81B | ₩39B | ₩82B | ₩77B | ₩75B | ₩75B | ₩78B |
| − Working capital | ₩5.1B | −₩7.5B | −₩43B | −₩8.4B | −₩5B | −₩2.3B | ₩170M | ₩2.6B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩17B | ₩13B | ₩10B | ₩7.6B | ₩5.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩16B | ₩11B | ₩8B | ₩5.6B | ₩3.7B |
Terminal value ₩263B, worth ₩179B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,408 a share)Now 3.02× | ₩5,0481.48× | ₩10,8813.19× | ₩28,2558.29× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩340 a share)Now 30.3× | ₩5,79517.1× | ₩10,30030.3× | ₩28,05882.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩799 a share)Now 12.9× | ₩13,61717.1× | ₩24,20230.3× | ₩65,93082.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | ₩72 |
| 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.1T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.3T
- P/E
- 30.3×
- P/B
- 3.0×
- P/S
- 1.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,530 | ₩4,975 | ₩11,980 | ₩10,700 | ₩23,100 |
| Market cap | ₩808B | ₩534B | ₩1.3T | ₩1.1T | ₩2.5T |
| P/E | 152.0× | — | — | 11.8× | 109.8× |
| P/B | 2.4× | 1.6× | 4.1× | 3.1× | 10.0× |
| P/S | 1.7× | 1.2× | 2.5× | 1.9× | 6.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foosung | 30.3× | 3.0× | 1.9× | — | 0.0% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.1× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 1.8× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 9.0× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 9.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Foosung / 후성 / 093370 / KRX:093370
Source: KRX statistical information