Pungkangco풍강
093380 · KOSDAQ · ₩093380 · 풍강
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,556
vs the current price (₩2,515)
- Enterprise value
- ₩33B
- Equity value
- ₩35B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 41% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,515, the model needs an operating margin of 2.7% every year (it uses 3.5%).
- Or revenue growth −26.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 42% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 5.8× against a typical 9.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩981
- −61.0%
- Base
- ₩3,556
- +41.4%
- Bull
- ₩8,327
- +231.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.5%).
Revenue growth
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 23%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩89B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩459M
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.6B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩153M
- Shares
- 9,879,313
- Share price
- ₩2,515
- Market cap
- ₩25B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩97B | ₩93B | ₩90B | ₩91B | ₩94B | ₩96B | ₩99B | ₩102B |
| Growth | 16.7% | −4.4% | −3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩728M | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B |
| EBIT margin | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.8B | ₩833M | ₩528M | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.1B | ₩2.3B | ₩675M | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
| − Working capital | −₩6.1B | ₩702M | −₩2.2B | ₩553M | ₩568M | ₩605M | ₩644M | ₩685M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.4B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B |
Terminal value ₩38B, worth ₩27B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,436 a share)Now 0.34× | ₩2,6750.36× | ₩3,7520.50× | ₩4,5840.62× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩436 a share)Now 5.76× | ₩2,6135.99× | ₩4,0339.24× | ₩13,93831.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩4,008 | ₩4,167 | ₩4,362 | ₩4,605 | ₩4,919 |
| 6.8% | ₩3,661 | ₩3,778 | ₩3,917 | ₩4,086 | ₩4,297 |
| 7.3% | ₩3,370 | ₩3,456 | ₩3,556 | ₩3,675 | ₩3,819 |
| 7.8% | ₩3,122 | ₩3,185 | ₩3,257 | ₩3,341 | ₩3,441 |
| 8.3% | ₩2,908 | ₩2,954 | ₩3,005 | ₩3,064 | ₩3,133 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩25B
- Enterprise value
- ₩24B
- P/E
- 5.8×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,715 | ₩2,265 | ₩3,840 | ₩3,580 | ₩4,420 |
| Market cap | ₩27B | ₩22B | ₩38B | ₩35B | ₩44B |
| P/E | 33.4× | — | 6.8× | 8.3× | 9.9× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.9% | 3.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pungkangco | 5.8× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.2% |
| CS Wind | 385.5× | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 2.5% |
| Hankuk Carbon | 7.8× | 1.2× | 0.9× | — | 2.1% |
| Taewoong | 65.8× | 0.8× | 1.3× | 21.0× | 0.0% |
| YG-1 | 5.1× | 0.8× | 0.5× | — | 1.8% |
| Bosung Power Technology | 18.8× | 2.1× | 1.8× | 8.5× | 0.0% |
| HT Robotics | 44.6× | 3.2× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 31.7× | 1.2× | 1.1× | 14.7× | 0.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Pungkangco / 풍강 / 093380 / KRX:093380
Source: KRX statistical information