Chips&Media칩스앤미디어
094360 · KOSDAQ · ₩094360 · 칩스앤미디어
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,099
vs the current price (₩11,400)
- Enterprise value
- ₩96B
- Equity value
- ₩152B
- WACC
- 8.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 38% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩11,400, the model needs an operating margin of 48.5% every year (it uses 25.4%).
- Or revenue growth +17.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 19.5% to 30.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 34% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 33.4× against a typical 34.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,731
- −49.7%
- Base
- ₩7,099
- −37.7%
- Bull
- ₩9,232
- −19.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (25.4%).
Revenue growth
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 25.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.74
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.61, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩29B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩41B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩14B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 21,355,274
- Share price
- ₩11,400
- Market cap
- ₩243B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩28B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩31B | ₩33B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| Growth | 14.7% | −2.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩7.8B | ₩5.3B | ₩7B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.6B | ₩9B | ₩9.2B |
| EBIT margin | 28.1% | 19.5% | 24.5% | 25.4% | 25.4% | 25.4% | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5.6B | ₩3.8B | ₩5B | ₩5.7B | ₩6B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩807M | ₩847M | ₩884M | ₩917M | ₩945M |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩361M | ₩1B | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩6.9B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.9B | ₩294M | ₩273M | ₩252M | ₩221M | ₩186M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩5.2B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.8B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.925 | 0.856 | 0.792 | 0.733 | 0.678 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.8B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.2B |
Terminal value ₩109B, worth ₩74B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,039 a share)Now 2.82× | ₩15,5533.85× | ₩20,0254.96× | ₩47,44711.7× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩342 a share)Now 33.4× | ₩7,25021.2× | ₩11,93434.9× | ₩21,70963.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | ₩7,292 | ₩7,616 | ₩8,004 | ₩8,475 | ₩9,062 |
| 7.6% | ₩6,926 | ₩7,194 | ₩7,511 | ₩7,889 | ₩8,349 |
| 8.1% | ₩6,612 | ₩6,837 | ₩7,099 | ₩7,408 | ₩7,777 |
| 8.6% | ₩6,339 | ₩6,530 | ₩6,750 | ₩7,006 | ₩7,307 |
| 9.1% | ₩6,100 | ₩6,264 | ₩6,450 | ₩6,665 | ₩6,915 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩243B
- Enterprise value
- ₩199B
- P/E
- 33.4×
- P/B
- 2.8×
- P/S
- 8.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,050 | ₩15,720 | ₩31,850 | ₩7,050 | ₩11,850 |
| Market cap | ₩385B | ₩336B | ₩680B | ₩151B | ₩253B |
| P/E | 65.1× | 33.5× | — | 15.1× | 40.4× |
| P/B | 4.6× | 4.4× | 9.7× | 3.6× | 6.7× |
| P/S | 13.5× | 12.4× | 24.6× | 6.2× | 12.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chips&Media | 33.4× | 2.8× | 8.3× | — | 1.0% |
| SK hynix | 6.4× | 3.9× | 5.5× | — | 0.2% |
| DB HiTek | 11.6× | 1.7× | 2.6× | — | 0.9% |
| Fadu | — | 36.3× | 12.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Hana Micron | 13.0× | 4.0× | 1.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Jeju Semiconductor | 9.6× | 4.9× | 3.3× | — | 0.0% |
| SFA Semicon | — | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.6× | 4.0× | 3.1× | — | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Chips&Media / 칩스앤미디어 / 094360 / KRX:094360
Source: KRX statistical information