Suprema HQ

094840 · KOSDAQ · ₩094840 · 슈프리마에이치큐

₩12,500▼ ₩70 (0.56%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩10,645

vs the current price (₩12,500)

Enterprise value
₩35B
Equity value
₩104B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩9,454
−24.4%
Base
₩10,645
−14.8%
Bull
₩12,638
+1.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 16%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 28.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩22B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩69B
Shares
9,806,109
Share price
₩12,500
Market cap
₩123B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩20B₩20B₩21B₩19B₩18B₩18B₩17B₩18B
Growth−37.1%−1.4%5.6%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.7B₩2.5B₩3.9B₩3.1B₩2.9B₩2.8B₩2.8B₩2.9B
EBIT margin−13.1%12.3%18.2%16.0%16.0%16.0%16.0%16.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.9B₩1.8B₩2.8B₩2.3B₩2.1B₩2B₩2B₩2.1B
+ Depreciation———₩331M₩309M₩298M₩297M₩306M
− Capital spending₩302M₩184M₩811M₩409M₩381M₩368M₩367M₩378M
− Working capital−₩56B₩21B−₩11B−₩625M−₩377M−₩184M−₩10M₩152M
Free cash flow———₩2.8B₩2.4B₩2.1B₩2B₩1.9B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩2.6B₩2.1B₩1.7B₩1.5B₩1.3B

Terminal value ₩37B, worth ₩26B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩24,966 a share)Now 0.50×₩6,8750.28×₩8,2410.33×₩11,8810.48×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,586 a share)Now 7.88×₩2,9971.89×₩7,0114.42×₩12,5007.88×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,968 a share)Now 6.35×₩3,7191.89×₩8,7014.42×₩15,5147.88×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩10,840₩11,101₩11,420₩11,820₩12,338
6.9%₩10,532₩10,741₩10,993₩11,302₩11,689
7.4%₩10,271₩10,443₩10,645₩10,889₩11,187
7.9%₩10,049₩10,190₩10,356₩10,551₩10,787
8.4%₩9,856₩9,974₩10,111₩10,271₩10,460

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩123B
Enterprise value
₩53B
P/E
7.9×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
5.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,810₩6,600₩6,730₩5,400₩7,240
Market cap₩67B₩65B₩66B₩53B₩71B
P/E5.0×4.3×1.8×4.2×6.7×
P/B0.3×0.3×0.3×0.3×0.4×
P/S3.1×3.2×3.2×1.6×2.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Suprema HQ7.9×0.5×5.7×—0.0%
Samsung Electronics9.5×2.5×2.9×—0.7%
LG Electronics25.3×1.0×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Vision17.0×2.1×1.1×—0.0%
RFHIC41.3×3.7×6.7×—0.8%
KMW—5.0×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies13.4×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)17.0×2.3×2.3×—0.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Suprema HQ / 슈프리마에이치큐 / 094840 / KRX:094840

Source: KRX statistical information