JMT제이엠티
094970 · KOSDAQ · ₩094970 · 제이엠티
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩26,019
vs the current price (₩2,490)
- Enterprise value
- ₩470B
- Equity value
- ₩436B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 945% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,490, the model needs an operating margin of 4.8% every year (it uses 11.7%).
- Margins ranged from 3.2% to 22.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 34% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 2.1× against a typical 3.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩13,658
- +448.5%
- Base
- ₩26,019
- +945.0%
- Bull
- ₩47,325
- +1,800.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.7%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 8.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩244B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩7.4B
- − Minority interests
- ₩42B
- Shares
- 16,748,240
- Share price
- ₩2,490
- Market cap
- ₩42B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩123B | ₩164B | ₩200B | ₩305B | ₩365B | ₩416B | ₩451B | ₩465B |
| Growth | 35.5% | 33.6% | 22.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩15B | ₩5.3B | ₩13B | ₩36B | ₩43B | ₩49B | ₩53B | ₩54B |
| EBIT margin | 12.1% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩11B | ₩3.8B | ₩9.5B | ₩26B | ₩31B | ₩35B | ₩38B | ₩39B |
| + Depreciation | ₩8.6B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩20B | ₩23B | ₩27B | ₩29B | ₩30B |
| − Capital spending | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩18B | ₩26B | ₩31B | ₩35B | ₩38B | ₩40B |
| − Working capital | ₩10B | ₩9.2B | ₩144M | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩20B | ₩14B | ₩5.4B |
| Free cash flow | −₩1.5B | −₩7.9B | ₩3.8B | −₩4.9B | −₩528M | ₩6.1B | ₩15B | ₩24B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩4.6B | −₩458M | ₩4.9B | ₩11B | ₩17B |
Terminal value ₩629B, worth ₩442B today: 94% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,458 a share)Now 0.26× | ₩2,7100.29× | ₩5,0420.53× | ₩8,4260.89× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,214 a share)Now 2.05× | ₩2,4992.06× | ₩3,8543.17× | ₩7,4176.11× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩787 a share)Now 3.16× | ₩1,6192.06× | ₩2,4983.17× | ₩4,8076.11× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩28,648 | ₩30,953 | ₩33,783 | ₩37,346 | ₩41,974 |
| 6.8% | ₩25,503 | ₩27,313 | ₩29,491 | ₩32,166 | ₩35,533 |
| 7.3% | ₩22,867 | ₩24,311 | ₩26,019 | ₩28,075 | ₩30,599 |
| 7.8% | ₩20,627 | ₩21,794 | ₩23,155 | ₩24,765 | ₩26,703 |
| 8.3% | ₩18,702 | ₩19,656 | ₩20,754 | ₩22,035 | ₩23,550 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩42B
- Enterprise value
- ₩27B
- P/E
- 2.1×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- 0.8×
- Dividend yield
- 2.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,690 | ₩2,900 | ₩4,085 | ₩3,085 | ₩4,235 |
| Market cap | ₩45B | ₩49B | ₩68B | ₩52B | ₩71B |
| P/E | 3.2× | 5.5× | 3.0× | 1.8× | 4.7× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.4× | 2.3× | 2.5× | 2.1× | 3.2× |
| Dividend yield | 2.2% | 1.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMT | 2.1× | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.8× | 2.4% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 88.7× | 8.7× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 34.5× | 4.9× | 0.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 65.1× | 2.5× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 11.6× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 0.6% |
| Isupetasys | 30.8× | 7.2× | 4.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 38.8× | 6.0× | 4.4× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 36.6× | 5.5× | 3.6× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: JMT / 제이엠티 / 094970 / KRX:094970
Source: KRX statistical information