Wave Electronics

095270 · KOSDAQ · ₩095270 · 웨이브일렉트로

₩4,495▼ ₩125 (2.71%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩15B
Equity value
−₩1.6B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩4,495, the model needs an operating margin of 5.2% every year (it uses 0.6%).
  • Margins ranged from −10.0% to 3.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 25.4× against a typical 23.3× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩2,127
−52.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 10.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 32.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩83B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩9.2B
+ Stakes and investments
₩4.4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
14,372,406
Share price
₩4,495
Market cap
₩65B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩78B₩78B₩81B₩92B₩100B₩107B₩113B₩116B
Growth31.8%0.1%3.2%10.8%8.9%6.9%5.0%3.0%
EBIT₩2.4B₩1.9B−₩1.6B₩553M₩602M₩643M₩676M₩696M
EBIT margin3.0%2.4%−2.0%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%
After-tax EBIT₩1.7B₩1.3B−₩1.2B₩401M₩436M₩466M₩490M₩504M
+ Depreciation———₩1.7B₩1.9B₩2B₩2.1B₩2.2B
− Capital spending₩1.1B₩1.5B₩3.1B₩2.2B₩2.4B₩2.6B₩2.7B₩2.8B
− Working capital₩7B−₩3.8B−₩9.7B₩2.9B₩2.6B₩2.2B₩1.7B₩1.1B
Free cash flow———−₩3B−₩2.7B−₩2.3B−₩1.8B−₩1.2B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———−₩2.7B−₩2.3B−₩1.9B−₩1.4B−₩815M

Terminal value −₩8.8B, worth −₩6.1B today: 40% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,753 a share)Now 1.20×₩3,5510.95×₩4,4951.20×₩5,2931.41×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩177 a share)Now 25.4×₩2001.13×₩4,13223.3×₩16,54093.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩216 a share)Now 20.8×₩2441.13×₩5,03623.3×₩20,16093.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩216₩9———
6.9%₩233₩50———
7.4%₩248₩85———
7.9%₩262₩115———
8.4%₩274₩142———

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩65B
Enterprise value
₩51B
P/E
25.4×
P/B
1.2×
P/S
0.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,505₩3,825₩5,090₩4,220₩5,440
Market cap₩65B₩55B₩73B₩61B₩78B
P/E43.9×—110.1×—1.3×
P/B1.2×1.1×1.3×0.9×1.0×
P/S0.8×0.7×0.9×1.0×1.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Wave Electronics25.4×1.2×0.8×—0.0%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech22.1×3.4×4.1×17.1×0.5%
Classys12.7×3.2×4.7×9.9×3.7%
Park Systems69.0×4.7×8.2×—0.2%
DI42.2×5.8×2.6×—0.6%
Curiox Biosystems—21.3×182.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×5.3×4.9×13.5×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Wave Electronics / 웨이브일렉트로 / 095270 / KRX:095270

Source: KRX statistical information