ISCISC
095340 · KOSDAQ · ₩095340 · ISC
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩61,253
vs the current price (₩151,300)
- Enterprise value
- ₩936B
- Equity value
- ₩1.3T
- WACC
- 8.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 60% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩151,300, the model needs an operating margin of 78.9% every year (it uses 27.3%).
- Or revenue growth +29.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 7.7% to 31.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 41.4× against a typical 31.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩48,171
- −68.2%
- Base
- ₩61,253
- −59.5%
- Bull
- ₩81,364
- −46.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (27.3%).
Revenue growth
- 7.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 27.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 22%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.79
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩278B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩359B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.7B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩928M
- Shares
- 21,197,058
- Share price
- ₩151,300
- Market cap
- ₩3.2T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩140B | ₩174B | ₩220B | ₩298B | ₩316B | ₩332B | ₩346B | ₩356B |
| Growth | −21.6% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩11B | ₩45B | ₩60B | ₩81B | ₩86B | ₩91B | ₩94B | ₩97B |
| EBIT margin | 7.7% | 25.7% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩7.8B | ₩32B | ₩44B | ₩59B | ₩63B | ₩66B | ₩68B | ₩70B |
| + Depreciation | ₩6.5B | — | — | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| − Capital spending | ₩15B | ₩12B | ₩6.3B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩24B |
| − Working capital | −₩14B | −₩20B | ₩14B | ₩4.4B | ₩4B | ₩3.5B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.3B |
| Free cash flow | ₩13B | — | — | ₩49B | ₩52B | ₩56B | ₩59B | ₩61B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.923 | 0.851 | 0.786 | 0.725 | 0.669 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩45B | ₩45B | ₩44B | ₩42B | ₩41B |
Terminal value ₩1.1T, worth ₩719B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩27,463 a share)Now 5.51× | ₩65,4302.38× | ₩91,2163.32× | ₩209,5597.63× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,659 a share)Now 41.4× | ₩49,54813.5× | ₩115,56931.6× | ₩282,99377.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩2,795 a share)Now 54.1× | ₩37,84813.5× | ₩88,27831.6× | ₩216,16577.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | ₩63,208 | ₩66,205 | ₩69,756 | ₩74,033 | ₩79,285 |
| 7.9% | ₩59,718 | ₩62,218 | ₩65,141 | ₩68,606 | ₩72,778 |
| 8.4% | ₩56,704 | ₩58,814 | ₩61,253 | ₩64,104 | ₩67,484 |
| 8.9% | ₩54,075 | ₩55,874 | ₩57,932 | ₩60,312 | ₩63,094 |
| 9.4% | ₩51,763 | ₩53,310 | ₩55,064 | ₩57,073 | ₩59,394 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩3.2T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.8T
- P/E
- 41.4×
- P/B
- 5.5×
- P/S
- 11.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩111,100 | ₩72,100 | ₩80,300 | ₩31,350 | ₩35,350 |
| Market cap | ₩2.4T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.7T | ₩665B | ₩749B |
| P/E | 42.0× | 28.0× | 128.9× | 15.1× | 24.8× |
| P/B | 4.4× | 2.9× | 3.6× | 2.5× | 3.4× |
| P/S | 10.7× | 8.8× | 12.1× | 3.7× | 5.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | 83.8× | 9.6× | 15.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% | 1.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISC | 41.4× | 5.5× | 11.5× | — | 0.6% |
| Samsung C&T | 17.5× | 0.5× | 1.1× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.0× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.7× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| SK Gas | 7.2× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 3.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 12.1× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 3.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: ISC / 095340 / KRX:095340
Source: KRX statistical information