MNTECHCo미래나노텍
095500 · KOSDAQ · ₩095500 · 미래나노텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6,302
vs the current price (₩6,040)
- Enterprise value
- ₩92B
- Equity value
- ₩195B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,465
- −59.2%
- Base
- ₩6,302
- +4.3%
- Bull
- ₩13,464
- +122.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.2%).
Revenue growth
- 3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 16.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩478B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩85B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩59B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩40B
- Shares
- 31,009,999
- Share price
- ₩6,040
- Market cap
- ₩187B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩694B | ₩622B | ₩539B | ₩494B | ₩509B | ₩525B | ₩541B | ₩557B |
| Growth | 41.5% | −10.3% | −13.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩14B | ₩25B | ₩21B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| EBIT margin | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩9.9B | ₩18B | ₩15B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩40B |
| − Capital spending | ₩19B | ₩38B | ₩96B | ₩44B | ₩45B | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩50B |
| − Working capital | −₩51B | ₩32B | −₩52B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩11M | ₩91M | ₩94M | ₩182M | ₩187M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.749 | 0.697 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩10M | ₩79M | ₩75M | ₩136M | ₩130M |
Terminal value ₩132B, worth ₩92B today: 100% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩10,329 a share)Now 0.58× | ₩7,2100.70× | ₩12,7541.23× | ₩29,9942.90× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩325 a share)Now 18.6× | ₩3,1189.61× | ₩6,15219.0× | ₩11,57835.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩6,817 | ₩6,962 | ₩7,136 | ₩7,352 | ₩7,627 |
| 7.0% | ₩6,452 | ₩6,555 | ₩6,676 | ₩6,822 | ₩7,002 |
| 7.5% | ₩6,146 | ₩6,218 | ₩6,302 | ₩6,401 | ₩6,519 |
| 8.0% | ₩5,885 | ₩5,935 | ₩5,992 | ₩6,058 | ₩6,134 |
| 8.5% | ₩5,660 | ₩5,694 | ₩5,731 | ₩5,773 | ₩5,821 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩187B
- Enterprise value
- ₩101B
- P/E
- 18.6×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,130 | ₩7,620 | ₩17,730 | ₩15,000 | ₩8,330 |
| Market cap | ₩314B | ₩236B | ₩550B | ₩465B | ₩258B |
| P/E | 22.7× | 10.7× | — | — | 11.6× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.8× | 2.3× | 2.2× | 1.2× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.7% | 0.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNTECHCo | 18.6× | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 1.2% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology | 5.8× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 4.0% |
| Kumho Tire | 3.1× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Pum-Tech Korea | 20.1× | 2.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.7% |
| Dongwon Systems | 9.7× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 5.7× | 2.8% |
| Nexen Tire | 3.5× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 3.6% |
| PI Advanced Materials | 12.8× | 1.2× | 1.7× | 5.2× | 2.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.8× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 5.5× | 2.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: MNTECHCo / 미래나노텍 / 095500 / KRX:095500
Source: KRX statistical information