MNTECHCo

095500 · KOSDAQ · ₩095500 · 미래나노텍

₩6,040▲ ₩180 (3.07%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩6,302

vs the current price (₩6,040)

Enterprise value
₩92B
Equity value
₩195B
WACC
7.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,465
−59.2%
Base
₩6,302
+4.3%
Bull
₩13,464
+122.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 8.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 16.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.62

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩478B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩85B
+ Stakes and investments
₩59B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩40B
Shares
31,009,999
Share price
₩6,040
Market cap
₩187B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩694B₩622B₩539B₩494B₩509B₩525B₩541B₩557B
Growth41.5%−10.3%−13.5%3.2%3.1%3.1%3.0%3.0%
EBIT₩14B₩25B₩21B₩16B₩16B₩17B₩17B₩18B
EBIT margin2.0%4.0%3.9%3.2%3.2%3.2%3.2%3.2%
After-tax EBIT₩9.9B₩18B₩15B₩11B₩12B₩12B₩13B₩13B
+ Depreciation———₩35B₩36B₩37B₩38B₩40B
− Capital spending₩19B₩38B₩96B₩44B₩45B₩47B₩48B₩50B
− Working capital−₩51B₩32B−₩52B₩2.6B₩2.6B₩2.6B₩2.6B₩2.7B
Free cash flow———₩11M₩91M₩94M₩182M₩187M
Discount factor———0.9300.8650.8050.7490.697
Present value———₩10M₩79M₩75M₩136M₩130M

Terminal value ₩132B, worth ₩92B today: 100% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩10,329 a share)Now 0.58×₩7,2100.70×₩12,7541.23×₩29,9942.90×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩325 a share)Now 18.6×₩3,1189.61×₩6,15219.0×₩11,57835.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.5%₩6,817₩6,962₩7,136₩7,352₩7,627
7.0%₩6,452₩6,555₩6,676₩6,822₩7,002
7.5%₩6,146₩6,218₩6,302₩6,401₩6,519
8.0%₩5,885₩5,935₩5,992₩6,058₩6,134
8.5%₩5,660₩5,694₩5,731₩5,773₩5,821

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩187B
Enterprise value
₩101B
P/E
18.6×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.2%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩10,130₩7,620₩17,730₩15,000₩8,330
Market cap₩314B₩236B₩550B₩465B₩258B
P/E22.7×10.7×——11.6×
P/B1.0×0.8×2.3×2.2×1.2×
P/S0.6×0.4×0.8×0.9×0.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.7%0.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
MNTECHCo18.6×0.6×0.4×—1.2%
Hankook Tire & Technology5.8×0.5×0.3×—4.0%
Kumho Tire3.1×0.6×0.3×—0.0%
Pum-Tech Korea20.1×2.6×2.1×—0.7%
Dongwon Systems9.7×0.7×0.4×5.7×2.8%
Nexen Tire3.5×0.3×0.2×—3.6%
PI Advanced Materials12.8×1.2×1.7×5.2×2.2%
Similar companies (median)7.8×0.6×0.4×5.5×2.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: MNTECHCo / 미래나노텍 / 095500 / KRX:095500

Source: KRX statistical information