JW HoldingsJW홀딩스
096760 · KOSPI · ₩096760 · JW홀딩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.
Fair value per share
₩26,829
vs the current price (₩4,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.4T
- Equity value
- ₩2T
- WACC
- 6.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 571% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,000, the model needs an operating margin of 5.4% every year (it uses 15.3%).
- Or revenue growth −27.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 8.7% to 17.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 3.5× against a typical 6.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩14,612
- +265.3%
- Base
- ₩26,829
- +570.7%
- Bull
- ₩48,203
- +1,105.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (15.3%).
Revenue growth
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 15.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 13.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.17, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩69B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩24B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩356B
- Shares
- 73,924,942
- Share price
- ₩4,000
- Market cap
- ₩296B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩928B | ₩888B | ₩970B | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T |
| Growth | 7.3% | −4.3% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩145B | ₩147B | ₩168B | ₩161B | ₩167B | ₩172B | ₩178B | ₩183B |
| EBIT margin | 15.6% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩105B | ₩106B | ₩122B | ₩117B | ₩121B | ₩125B | ₩129B | ₩133B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩53B | ₩54B | ₩56B | ₩58B | ₩60B |
| − Capital spending | ₩85B | ₩36B | ₩55B | ₩66B | ₩69B | ₩71B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| − Working capital | −₩86B | ₩24B | −₩35B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.2B | ₩5B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩98B | ₩101B | ₩105B | ₩109B | ₩113B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.937 | 0.879 | 0.824 | 0.772 | 0.724 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩92B | ₩89B | ₩87B | ₩84B | ₩82B |
Terminal value ₩2.7T, worth ₩2T today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,922 a share)Now 1.02× | ₩4,1171.05× | ₩7,3741.88× | ₩11,2062.86× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,143 a share)Now 3.50× | ₩4,0003.50× | ₩7,1786.28× | ₩18,43416.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,052 a share)Now 3.80× | ₩3,6833.50× | ₩6,6106.28× | ₩16,97416.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | ₩28,352 | ₩31,628 | ₩35,793 | ₩41,265 | ₩48,779 |
| 6.2% | ₩25,003 | ₩27,581 | ₩30,774 | ₩34,832 | ₩40,166 |
| 6.7% | ₩22,246 | ₩24,317 | ₩26,829 | ₩29,941 | ₩33,897 |
| 7.2% | ₩19,936 | ₩21,630 | ₩23,649 | ₩26,098 | ₩29,131 |
| 7.7% | ₩17,975 | ₩19,379 | ₩21,030 | ₩22,998 | ₩25,385 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩296B
- Enterprise value
- ₩343B
- P/E
- 3.5×
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,590 | ₩3,020 | ₩3,490 | ₩2,980 | ₩3,430 |
| Market cap | ₩265B | ₩223B | ₩258B | ₩220B | ₩254B |
| P/E | 4.5× | 3.6× | 13.6× | 9.9× | — |
| P/B | 1.0× | 1.0× | 2.1× | 2.1× | 2.7× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 6.0% | 3.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JW Holdings | 3.5× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 5.4% |
| SK Square | 3.8× | 2.3× | 102.1× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| KB Financial Group | 8.9× | 0.9× | — | 9.6× | 2.8% |
| Shinhan Financial Group | 7.7× | 0.7× | — | 10.1× | 2.9% |
| SK | 4.8× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| Hana Financial Group | 7.9× | 0.7× | — | 10.0× | 3.4% |
| Woori Financial Group | 7.1× | 0.6× | — | 8.5× | 4.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.4× | 0.8× | 51.2× | 9.6× | 2.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: JW Holdings / JW홀딩스 / 096760 / KRX:096760
Source: KRX statistical information