HJ Shipbuilding & Construction

097230 · KOSPI · ₩097230 · HJ중공업

₩11,840▼ ₩300 (2.47%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩14B
Equity value
−₩27B
WACC
7.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩11,840, the model needs an operating margin of 3.0% every year (it uses −0.2%).
  • Or revenue growth +46.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from −6.4% to 3.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩10,613
−10.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -0.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.73

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.6, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩2.4T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩200B
+ Stakes and investments
₩159B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
90,295,344
Share price
₩11,840
Market cap
₩1.1T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩2.2T₩1.9T₩2T₩2.4T₩2.5T₩2.6T₩2.7T₩2.8T
Growth20.9%−12.8%6.0%3.8%3.6%3.4%3.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩109B₩7.3B₩67B−₩4.9B−₩5.1B−₩5.2B−₩5.4B−₩5.6B
EBIT margin−5.0%0.4%3.4%−0.2%−0.2%−0.2%−0.2%−0.2%
After-tax EBIT−₩79B₩5.3B₩49B−₩3.5B−₩3.7B−₩3.8B−₩3.9B−₩4B
+ Depreciation———₩9.8B₩10B₩10B₩11B₩11B
− Capital spending₩10B₩6.1B₩11B₩12B₩13B₩13B₩14B₩14B
− Working capital−₩90B−₩223B₩11B−₩8.9B−₩8.8B−₩8.6B−₩8.4B−₩8.1B
Free cash flow———₩3B₩2.6B₩2.2B₩1.8B₩1.3B
Discount factor———0.9310.8660.8060.7500.698
Present value———₩2.8B₩2.2B₩1.8B₩1.3B₩898M

Terminal value ₩7.8B, worth ₩5.4B today: 38% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩8,339 a share)Now 1.42×₩7,0990.85×₩12,3081.48×₩41,3634.96×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.5%———₩25₩417
7.0%————₩303
7.5%————₩215
8.0%————₩144
8.5%————₩87

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.1T
Enterprise value
₩1.3T
P/E
7.6×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩21,050₩5,930₩4,450₩3,915₩8,040
Market cap₩1.9T₩535B₩402B₩354B₩726B
P/E37.0×100.2×———
P/B2.8×1.6×1.2×0.9×1.7×
P/S1.0×0.3×0.2×0.2×0.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HJ Shipbuilding & Construction7.6×1.4×0.5×—0.0%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction22.7×1.1×0.4×—0.9%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction—1.3×0.6×—0.0%
GS Engineering & Construction19.3×0.5×0.2×—1.7%
DL E&C3.6×0.4×0.3×—1.5%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering14.4×1.4×1.2×8.1×0.0%
Ipark Hyundai Development8.9×0.5×0.4×—2.8%
Similar companies (median)14.4×0.8×0.4×8.1×1.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HJ Shipbuilding & Construction / HJ중공업 / 097230 / KRX:097230

Source: KRX statistical information