Mcnex

097520 · KOSPI · ₩097520 · 엠씨넥스

₩19,970▼ ₩1,480 (6.90%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩21,476

vs the current price (₩19,970)

Enterprise value
₩381B
Equity value
₩374B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,773
−91.1%
Base
₩21,476
+7.5%
Bull
₩57,564
+188.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 4.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 11%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.61

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.42, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.2T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩7.6B
Shares
17,401,500
Share price
₩19,970
Market cap
₩348B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩932B₩1.1T₩1.3T₩1.3T₩1.3T₩1.4T₩1.4T₩1.5T
Growth−15.9%13.4%21.0%4.9%4.4%3.9%3.5%3.0%
EBIT₩18B₩44B₩52B₩34B₩36B₩37B₩38B₩39B
EBIT margin2.0%4.2%4.1%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%
After-tax EBIT₩13B₩32B₩38B₩25B₩26B₩27B₩28B₩29B
+ Depreciation₩51B₩44B₩46B₩56B₩58B₩60B₩62B₩64B
− Capital spending₩38B₩38B₩41B₩45B₩47B₩49B₩51B₩53B
− Working capital₩36B₩35B₩20B₩6.5B₩6.1B₩5.7B₩5.3B₩4.7B
Free cash flow−₩10B₩2.9B₩22B₩28B₩30B₩32B₩34B₩36B
Discount factor———0.9310.8680.8080.7530.701
Present value———₩26B₩26B₩26B₩25B₩25B

Terminal value ₩360B, worth ₩252B today: 66% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩22,665 a share)Now 0.88×₩20,9730.93×₩31,9121.41×₩57,7832.55×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,944 a share)Now 10.3×₩13,1336.76×₩19,4129.99×₩60,66731.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩182 a share)Now 109.6×₩1,2316.76×₩1,8209.99×₩5,68731.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩23,507₩24,568₩25,864₩27,487₩29,583
6.9%₩21,663₩22,476₩23,449₩24,637₩26,125
7.4%₩20,103₩20,733₩21,476₩22,364₩23,449
7.9%₩18,765₩19,259₩19,833₩20,507₩21,314
8.4%₩17,604₩17,995₩18,442₩18,959₩19,568

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩348B
Enterprise value
₩355B
P/E
10.3×
P/B
0.9×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
4.6×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩28,850₩19,180₩30,250₩27,900₩57,500
Market cap₩502B₩334B₩526B₩486B₩1T
P/E9.7×5.2×18.9×21.1×25.3×
P/B1.3×0.9×1.6×1.6×3.3×
P/S0.4×0.3×0.6×0.4×1.0×
EV/EBITDA5.2×3.9×8.2×8.2×13.4×
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Mcnex10.3×0.9×0.3×4.6×0.0%
Samsung Electronics9.5×2.5×2.9×—0.7%
LG Electronics25.3×1.0×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Vision17.0×2.1×1.1×—0.0%
RFHIC41.3×3.7×6.7×—0.8%
KMW—5.0×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies13.4×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)17.0×2.3×2.3×—0.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Mcnex / 엠씨넥스 / 097520 / KRX:097520

Source: KRX statistical information