Hyosung ONB

097870 · KOSDAQ · ₩097870 · 효성오앤비

₩4,070▲ ₩40 (0.99%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩6,510

vs the current price (₩4,070)

Enterprise value
₩27B
Equity value
₩55B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 60% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩4,070, the model needs an operating margin of 3.5% every year (it uses 11.6%).
  • Margins ranged from 2.4% to 15.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 12.3× against a typical 17.2× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩5,386
+32.3%
Base
₩6,510
+59.9%
Bull
₩8,458
+107.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (FY 2025)
₩24B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩29B
− Minority interests
₩977M
Shares
8,490,000
Share price
₩4,070
Market cap
₩35B

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩30B₩28B₩24B₩22B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩20B
Growth−12.8%−5.4%−13.1%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩720M₩4.3B₩3.5B₩2.5B₩2.4B₩2.3B₩2.3B₩2.4B
EBIT margin2.4%15.2%14.2%11.6%11.6%11.6%11.6%11.6%
After-tax EBIT₩522M₩3.1B₩2.5B₩1.8B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.7B
+ Depreciation₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.2B₩988M₩922M₩889M₩887M₩914M
− Capital spending₩2.5B₩1B₩1.1B₩1.2B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.1B
− Working capital−₩971M₩25B−₩36B−₩975M−₩588M−₩287M−₩16M₩237M
Free cash flow₩276M−₩22B₩38B₩2.6B₩2.1B₩1.8B₩1.5B₩1.3B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩2.4B₩1.8B₩1.4B₩1.1B₩889M

Terminal value ₩28B, worth ₩19B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩9,226 a share)Now 0.44×₩5,8540.63×₩7,5270.82×₩11,0981.20×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩331 a share)Now 12.3×₩3,72311.2×₩5,69517.2×₩14,12542.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩6,749₩6,945₩7,184₩7,485₩7,873
6.9%₩6,473₩6,628₩6,813₩7,039₩7,324
7.4%₩6,241₩6,364₩6,510₩6,685₩6,899
7.9%₩6,042₩6,142₩6,258₩6,396₩6,561
8.4%₩5,870₩5,952₩6,046₩6,156₩6,285

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩35B
Enterprise value
₩5.2B
P/E
12.3×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
1.1×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,000₩6,920₩7,480₩7,780₩8,550
Market cap₩51B₩59B₩64B₩66B₩73B
P/E18.1×13.1×50.2×17.1×30.6×
P/B0.7×0.8×0.9×0.9×1.0×
P/S2.1×2.1×2.1×1.9×2.4×
EV/EBITDA4.6×10.4×32.2×11.6×20.9×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hyosung ONB12.3×0.4×1.4×1.1×0.0%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.3×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.3×0.4×0.4×8.9×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hyosung ONB / 효성오앤비 / 097870 / KRX:097870

Source: KRX statistical information