Micro Contact Solution마이크로컨텍솔
098120 · KOSDAQ · ₩098120 · 마이크로컨텍솔
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩29,592
vs the current price (₩55,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩223B
- Equity value
- ₩246B
- WACC
- 9.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 47% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩55,700, the model needs an operating margin of 26.6% every year (it uses 14.5%).
- Or revenue growth +19.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 17.1× against a typical 9.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩20,324
- −63.5%
- Base
- ₩29,592
- −46.9%
- Bull
- ₩43,714
- −21.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.5%).
Revenue growth
- 18%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (18% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (18% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (18% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (18% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (18% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 7.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.94
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.91, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩122B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩23B
- − Minority interests
- ₩200M
- Shares
- 8,312,766
- Share price
- ₩55,700
- Market cap
- ₩463B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩65B | ₩70B | ₩100B | ₩144B | ₩165B | ₩182B | ₩194B | ₩200B |
| Growth | 6.2% | 7.5% | 44.0% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩7.4B | ₩10B | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩24B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| EBIT margin | 11.5% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5.4B | ₩7.4B | ₩13B | ₩15B | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩8.4B | ₩9.5B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3B | ₩5.3B | ₩9.6B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B |
| − Working capital | −₩11B | ₩8B | ₩85M | ₩3.8B | ₩3.5B | ₩3B | ₩2.1B | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩9.2B | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩15B | ₩17B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.915 | 0.838 | 0.767 | 0.702 | 0.642 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩8.4B | ₩9.5B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
Terminal value ₩269B, worth ₩173B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,705 a share)Now 4.76× | ₩10,6440.91× | ₩18,4821.58× | ₩35,1133.00× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,263 a share)Now 17.1× | ₩21,1976.50× | ₩30,6539.40× | ₩47,01514.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩5,485 a share)Now 10.2× | ₩35,6356.50× | ₩51,5319.40× | ₩79,03714.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | ₩30,923 | ₩32,458 | ₩34,236 | ₩36,321 | ₩38,800 |
| 8.8% | ₩28,948 | ₩30,249 | ₩31,740 | ₩33,468 | ₩35,494 |
| 9.3% | ₩27,216 | ₩28,328 | ₩29,592 | ₩31,042 | ₩32,720 |
| 9.8% | ₩25,684 | ₩26,643 | ₩27,724 | ₩28,952 | ₩30,361 |
| 10.3% | ₩24,321 | ₩25,153 | ₩26,085 | ₩27,136 | ₩28,329 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩463B
- Enterprise value
- ₩439B
- P/E
- 17.1×
- P/B
- 4.8×
- P/S
- 3.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩16,880 | ₩5,120 | ₩13,970 | ₩5,210 | ₩14,100 |
| Market cap | ₩140B | ₩43B | ₩116B | ₩43B | ₩117B |
| P/E | 8.3× | 4.0× | 15.7× | 6.1× | 15.6× |
| P/B | 1.7× | 0.7× | 2.1× | 0.9× | 2.8× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 0.6× | 1.8× | 0.7× | 1.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.6% | 1.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micro Contact Solution | 17.1× | 4.8× | 3.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 95.9× | 9.4× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 37.2× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 69.5× | 2.7× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 12.4× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 0.5% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.9× | 7.0× | 5.1× | — | 0.4% |
| Isupetasys | 33.8× | 7.9× | 5.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 41.1× | 6.1× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Micro Contact Solution / 마이크로컨텍솔 / 098120 / KRX:098120
Source: KRX statistical information