Koh Young Technology고영
098460 · KOSDAQ · ₩098460 · 고영
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6,746
vs the current price (₩31,050)
- Enterprise value
- ₩307B
- Equity value
- ₩460B
- WACC
- 7.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 78% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩31,050, the model needs an operating margin of 64.4% every year (it uses 11.2%).
- Or revenue growth +59.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 1.6% to 16.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 45% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 44.4× against a typical 44.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,137
- −83.5%
- Base
- ₩6,746
- −78.3%
- Bull
- ₩9,454
- −69.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.2%).
Revenue growth
- -5.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.69
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.54, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩291B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩149B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 68,204,213
- Share price
- ₩31,050
- Market cap
- ₩2.1T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩226B | ₩203B | ₩233B | ₩275B | ₩266B | ₩263B | ₩265B | ₩273B |
| Growth | −18.1% | −10.2% | 14.9% | −5.5% | −3.3% | −1.2% | 0.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩20B | ₩3.3B | ₩17B | ₩31B | ₩30B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B |
| EBIT margin | 9.0% | 1.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩15B | ₩2.4B | ₩13B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩22B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| − Capital spending | ₩10B | ₩8.6B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| − Working capital | −₩78B | −₩9.9B | ₩6B | −₩6.4B | −₩3.6B | −₩1.3B | ₩946M | ₩3.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩26B | ₩23B | ₩20B | ₩18B | ₩16B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.859 | 0.796 | 0.738 | 0.684 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩24B | ₩19B | ₩16B | ₩13B | ₩11B |
Terminal value ₩327B, worth ₩223B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,311 a share)Now 5.85× | ₩13,0052.45× | ₩18,7823.54× | ₩31,0505.85× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩699 a share)Now 44.4× | ₩15,21021.8× | ₩30,81844.1× | ₩63,23990.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩922 a share)Now 33.7× | ₩20,07521.8× | ₩40,67544.1× | ₩83,46690.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | ₩7,095 | ₩7,339 | ₩7,632 | ₩7,991 | ₩8,439 |
| 7.4% | ₩6,722 | ₩6,917 | ₩7,148 | ₩7,424 | ₩7,762 |
| 7.9% | ₩6,404 | ₩6,562 | ₩6,746 | ₩6,962 | ₩7,223 |
| 8.4% | ₩6,128 | ₩6,257 | ₩6,406 | ₩6,579 | ₩6,783 |
| 8.9% | ₩5,888 | ₩5,994 | ₩6,115 | ₩6,255 | ₩6,417 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.1T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2T
- P/E
- 44.4×
- P/B
- 5.8×
- P/S
- 7.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩22,900 | ₩8,110 | ₩16,550 | ₩12,750 | ₩23,700 |
| Market cap | ₩1.6T | ₩553B | ₩1.1T | ₩870B | ₩1.6T |
| P/E | 105.8× | 26.3× | 51.5× | 22.1× | 40.8× |
| P/B | 4.7× | 1.7× | 3.7× | 2.8× | 5.8× |
| P/S | 6.7× | 2.7× | 5.0× | 3.2× | 6.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.6% | 1.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koh Young Technology | 44.4× | 5.8× | 7.3× | — | 0.5% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 217.2× | 4.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 87.4× | 26.0× | 35.2× | 78.7× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,189.7× | 14.6× | 38.2× | 2,291.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,610.6× | 59.1× | 174.0× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.5× | 6.9× | 11.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Wonik IPS | 28.2× | 4.5× | 5.3× | 42.7× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 152.3× | 10.7× | 23.4× | 78.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Koh Young Technology / 고영 / 098460 / KRX:098460
Source: KRX statistical information