BioPlus바이오플러스
099430 · KOSDAQ · ₩099430 · 바이오플러스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,372
vs the current price (₩3,360)
- Enterprise value
- ₩510B
- Equity value
- ₩454B
- WACC
- 6.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 119% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,360, the model needs an operating margin of 23.6% every year (it uses 35.3%).
- Or revenue growth −14.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 16.5% to 48.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 15.0× against a typical 20.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,512
- +34.3%
- Base
- ₩7,372
- +119.4%
- Bull
- ₩12,152
- +261.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (35.3%).
Revenue growth
- 17%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 13.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 35.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 61.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 77.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.29, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩99B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩34B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩29M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩22B
- Shares
- 61,640,722
- Share price
- ₩3,360
- Market cap
- ₩207B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩65B | ₩66B | ₩91B | ₩116B | ₩132B | ₩145B | ₩154B | ₩159B |
| Growth | 14.7% | 2.1% | 36.9% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩28B | ₩24B | ₩15B | ₩41B | ₩46B | ₩51B | ₩54B | ₩56B |
| EBIT margin | 43.1% | 35.6% | 16.5% | 35.3% | 35.3% | 35.3% | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩20B | ₩17B | ₩11B | ₩30B | ₩34B | ₩37B | ₩39B | ₩41B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩72B | ₩81B | ₩89B | ₩95B | ₩98B |
| − Capital spending | ₩22B | ₩97B | ₩48B | ₩89B | ₩102B | ₩112B | ₩119B | ₩122B |
| − Working capital | −₩55B | −₩48B | ₩37B | ₩674M | ₩626M | ₩527M | ₩377M | ₩185M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.935 | 0.874 | 0.818 | 0.765 | 0.715 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩11B |
Terminal value ₩634B, worth ₩453B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,895 a share)Now 1.16× | ₩4,9851.72× | ₩9,4773.27× | ₩14,6825.07× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩225 a share)Now 15.0× | ₩3,54615.8× | ₩4,50920.1× | ₩8,54638.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩132 a share)Now 25.5× | ₩2,08415.8× | ₩2,64920.1× | ₩5,02138.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | ₩7,693 | ₩8,587 | ₩9,708 | ₩11,155 | ₩13,093 |
| 6.4% | ₩6,815 | ₩7,531 | ₩8,407 | ₩9,506 | ₩10,924 |
| 6.9% | ₩6,087 | ₩6,671 | ₩7,372 | ₩8,232 | ₩9,309 |
| 7.4% | ₩5,474 | ₩5,957 | ₩6,530 | ₩7,218 | ₩8,060 |
| 7.9% | ₩4,951 | ₩5,357 | ₩5,831 | ₩6,392 | ₩7,066 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩207B
- Enterprise value
- ₩239B
- P/E
- 15.0×
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 2.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,030 | ₩7,310 | ₩6,870 | ₩6,940 | ₩6,882 |
| Market cap | ₩310B | ₩451B | ₩423B | ₩428B | ₩424B |
| P/E | 20.7× | 31.8× | 16.6× | 20.2× | 39.6× |
| P/B | 1.8× | 3.4× | 3.3× | 3.8× | 5.4× |
| P/S | 3.4× | 6.8× | 6.5× | 7.5× | 11.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.4% | 0.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BioPlus | 15.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | — | 2.1% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.0× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 80.5× | 29.0× | 61.2× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.7× | 5.8× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 24.0× | 2.4× | 2.5× | 31.3× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.7× | 55.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 31.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: BioPlus / 바이오플러스 / 099430 / KRX:099430
Source: KRX statistical information