Visang Education

100220 · KOSPI · ₩100220 · 비상교육

₩4,790▲ ₩30 (0.63%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩306

vs the current price (₩4,790)

Enterprise value
₩72B
Equity value
₩4B
WACC
5.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 94% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩4,790, the model needs an operating margin of 5.2% every year (it uses 4.3%).
  • Or revenue growth +30.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from −2.3% to 8.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 1.8× against a typical 16.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩306
−93.6%
Bull
₩19,414
+305.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 14.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 18.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 22%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.36, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩294B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩72B
+ Stakes and investments
₩3.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
12,996,741
Share price
₩4,790
Market cap
₩62B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩252B₩246B₩269B₩300B₩307B₩315B₩323B₩333B
Growth−0.3%−2.3%9.1%2.0%2.3%2.5%2.8%3.0%
EBIT−₩5.8B₩10B₩22B₩13B₩13B₩14B₩14B₩14B
EBIT margin−2.3%4.1%8.0%4.3%4.3%4.3%4.3%4.3%
After-tax EBIT−₩4.2B₩7.4B₩16B₩9.4B₩9.6B₩9.8B₩10B₩10B
+ Depreciation———₩45B₩46B₩47B₩48B₩50B
− Capital spending₩65B₩63B₩12B₩56B₩57B₩59B₩60B₩62B
− Working capital₩4.3B−₩6.3B₩5.1B₩1.3B₩1.5B₩1.7B₩1.9B₩2.1B
Free cash flow———−₩3B−₩3.3B−₩3.5B−₩3.8B−₩4.1B
Discount factor———0.9470.8980.8500.8060.763
Present value———−₩2.9B−₩3B−₩3B−₩3.1B−₩3.1B

Terminal value ₩113B, worth ₩87B today: 121% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩17,207 a share)Now 0.28×₩5,2380.30×₩6,5200.38×₩8,3230.48×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,648 a share)Now 1.81×₩4,9751.88×₩43,73916.5×₩59,50022.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩271 a share)Now 17.7×₩5091.88×₩4,47316.5×₩6,08422.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.6%₩1,810₩2,450₩3,331₩4,630₩6,750
5.1%₩647₩1,045₩1,566₩2,282₩3,336
5.6%——₩306₩713₩1,270
6.1%—————
6.6%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩62B
Enterprise value
₩134B
P/E
1.8×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
4.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,895₩4,310₩5,420₩5,850₩7,800
Market cap₩64B₩56B₩70B₩76B₩101B
P/E3.0×———16.8×
P/B0.3×0.3×0.4×0.4×0.5×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.3×0.3×0.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield4.5%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Visang Education1.8×0.3×0.2×—4.6%
CJ ENM—0.3×0.2×—0.0%
Seoul Broadcasting System107.3×0.2×0.2×—3.0%
KT Skylife78.4×0.3×0.2×—9.0%
Mega Study5.3×0.5×1.3×—10.1%
LG HelloVision—0.2×0.1×3.1×0.0%
The Korea Economic Broadcasting19.1×0.7×1.1×—3.1%
Similar companies (median)48.8×0.3×0.2×3.1×3.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Visang Education / 비상교육 / 100220 / KRX:100220

Source: KRX statistical information