Mobase모베이스
101330 · KOSDAQ · ₩101330 · 모베이스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩16,632
vs the current price (₩3,640)
- Enterprise value
- ₩683B
- Equity value
- ₩385B
- WACC
- 5.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 357% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,640, the model needs an operating margin of 2.4% every year (it uses 3.4%).
- Or revenue growth −18.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 2.8× against a typical 3.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩16,632
- +356.9%
- Bull
- ₩75,375
- +1,970.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.4%).
Revenue growth
- 1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 14.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.79
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.68, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.3T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩172B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩132B
- Shares
- 23,147,029
- Share price
- ₩3,640
- Market cap
- ₩84B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.5T |
| Growth | −4.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩40B | ₩53B | ₩42B | ₩46B | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩49B | ₩51B |
| EBIT margin | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩29B | ₩39B | ₩30B | ₩34B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩50B | ₩51B | ₩52B | ₩53B | ₩55B |
| − Capital spending | ₩55B | ₩65B | ₩64B | ₩64B | ₩65B | ₩66B | ₩68B | ₩70B |
| − Working capital | ₩21B | ₩13B | ₩25B | ₩2.2B | ₩3.2B | ₩4.3B | ₩5.2B | ₩6.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩15B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.949 | 0.900 | 0.853 | 0.809 | 0.768 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩17B | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩12B |
Terminal value ₩798B, worth ₩612B today: 90% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩16,089 a share)Now 0.23× | ₩3,3680.21× | ₩3,9680.25× | ₩5,0490.31× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,318 a share)Now 2.76× | ₩3,3962.58× | ₩5,1373.90× | ₩11,7788.94× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩971 a share)Now 3.75× | ₩2,5022.58× | ₩3,7853.90× | ₩8,6788.94× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | ₩19,996 | ₩23,920 | ₩29,445 | ₩37,820 | ₩52,040 |
| 4.9% | ₩15,554 | ₩18,286 | ₩21,940 | ₩27,084 | ₩34,880 |
| 5.4% | ₩12,122 | ₩14,094 | ₩16,632 | ₩20,025 | ₩24,800 |
| 5.9% | ₩9,392 | ₩10,856 | ₩12,682 | ₩15,032 | ₩18,172 |
| 6.4% | ₩7,171 | ₩8,279 | ₩9,630 | ₩11,315 | ₩13,483 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩84B
- Enterprise value
- ₩252B
- P/E
- 2.8×
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,215 | ₩2,730 | ₩3,475 | ₩2,875 | ₩4,155 |
| Market cap | ₩74B | ₩63B | ₩80B | ₩67B | ₩96B |
| P/E | 6.4× | 2.3× | 5.1× | 3.5× | 12.6× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.0× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.4% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobase | 2.8× | 0.2× | 0.1× | — | 3.8% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.8× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 23.6× | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 21.8× | 2.7× | 1.4× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 39.7× | 3.5× | 6.5× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 7.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 21.8× | 2.5× | 2.1× | — | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mobase / 모베이스 / 101330 / KRX:101330
Source: KRX statistical information