Inhwa Precision

101930 · KOSDAQ · ₩101930 · 인화정공

₩6,400▼ ₩440 (6.43%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,719

vs the current price (₩6,400)

Enterprise value
₩109B
Equity value
₩170B
WACC
7.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 42% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩6,400, the model needs an operating margin of 18.9% every year (it uses 9.2%).
  • Or revenue growth +24.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 3.3% to 14.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 48% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 11.8× against a typical 11.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,831
−55.8%
Base
₩3,719
−41.9%
Bull
₩5,317
−16.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 9.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.35, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩112B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩28B
+ Stakes and investments
₩89B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
45,694,671
Share price
₩6,400
Market cap
₩292B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩104B₩93B₩108B₩101B₩94B₩91B₩91B₩93B
Growth−29.9%−10.7%16.4%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩4.9B₩10B₩16B₩9.3B₩8.7B₩8.4B₩8.3B₩8.6B
EBIT margin4.7%11.1%14.4%9.2%9.2%9.2%9.2%9.2%
After-tax EBIT₩3.5B₩7.4B₩11B₩6.7B₩6.3B₩6.1B₩6B₩6.2B
+ Depreciation₩6.5B₩4B₩3.9B₩4.7B₩4.4B₩4.3B₩4.3B₩4.4B
− Capital spending₩2.6B₩2.9B₩6.5B₩3.9B₩3.7B₩3.5B₩3.5B₩3.6B
− Working capital−₩35B₩7.7B₩124B−₩4.5B−₩2.7B−₩1.3B−₩73M₩1.1B
Free cash flow₩43B₩891M−₩116B₩12B₩9.7B₩8.1B₩6.8B₩5.9B
Discount factor———0.9340.8730.8160.7620.712
Present value———₩11B₩8.5B₩6.6B₩5.2B₩4.2B

Terminal value ₩102B, worth ₩73B today: 67% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,776 a share)Now 0.82×₩4,5660.59×₩6,0100.77×₩10,4951.35×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩544 a share)Now 11.8×₩2,1053.87×₩6,19011.4×₩23,78343.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩822 a share)Now 7.79×₩3,1823.87×₩9,35711.4×₩35,95243.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.0%₩3,921₩4,059₩4,231₩4,451₩4,743
6.5%₩3,712₩3,818₩3,947₩4,107₩4,311
7.0%₩3,538₩3,620₩3,719₩3,838₩3,986
7.5%₩3,390₩3,455₩3,531₩3,622₩3,733
8.0%₩3,263₩3,315₩3,375₩3,445₩3,529

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩292B
Enterprise value
₩320B
P/E
11.8×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
2.6×
EV/EBITDA
15.0×
Dividend yield
2.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,240₩6,010₩2,328₩2,520₩2,760
Market cap₩422B₩275B₩106B₩115B₩126B
P/E16.5×6.9×42.6×—8.3×
P/B1.2×1.1×0.6×0.7×0.7×
P/S3.9×3.0×1.0×0.8×1.1×
EV/EBITDA23.3×23.8×17.3×14.9×21.4×
Dividend yield1.6%2.3%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Inhwa Precision11.8×0.8×2.6×15.0×2.3%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries11.3×2.7×1.3×—2.1%
Hanwha Ocean7.5×2.1×1.0×—0.0%
Samsung Heavy Industries24.5×2.9×1.2×—0.0%
Daehan Shipbuilding4.5×1.1×1.1×—0.7%
Sejin Heavy Industries6.3×1.6×1.0×—3.2%
Hyundai Hyms14.1×1.3×1.3×—1.3%
Similar companies (median)9.4×1.8×1.1×—1.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Inhwa Precision / 인화정공 / 101930 / KRX:101930

Source: KRX statistical information