Iljin Electric

103590 · KOSPI · ₩103590 · 일진전기

₩56,000▼ ₩2,900 (4.92%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩28,995

vs the current price (₩56,000)

Enterprise value
₩1.3T
Equity value
₩1.4T
WACC
10.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 48% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩56,000, the model needs an operating margin of 9.2% every year (it uses 5.0%).
  • Or revenue growth +18.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩2.4T, operating profit ₩254B (10.7% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩2.5T, operating profit ₩285B (11.3% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Today's P/E is 19.0× against a typical 23.3× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩12,930
−76.9%
Base
₩28,995
−48.2%
Bull
₩53,791
−3.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 20.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 16.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 1.09

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩2.2T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩45B
Shares
47,685,390
Share price
₩56,000
Market cap
₩2.7T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.2T₩1.6T₩2T₩2.7T₩3.1T₩3.5T₩3.7T₩3.8T
Growth7.0%26.5%29.6%20.6%16.2%11.8%7.4%3.0%
EBIT₩61B₩80B₩151B₩133B₩155B₩173B₩186B₩191B
EBIT margin4.9%5.1%7.4%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%
After-tax EBIT₩44B₩58B₩110B₩97B₩112B₩125B₩135B₩139B
+ Depreciation———₩56B₩65B₩73B₩78B₩80B
− Capital spending₩24B₩71B₩27B₩69B₩80B₩90B₩97B₩99B
− Working capital−₩11B−₩44B₩34B₩18B₩17B₩14B₩10B₩4.3B
Free cash flow———₩65B₩80B₩94B₩106B₩115B
Discount factor———0.9080.8250.7500.6810.619
Present value———₩59B₩66B₩70B₩72B₩71B

Terminal value ₩1.6T, worth ₩998B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩13,719 a share)Now 4.08×₩9,2780.68×₩27,9722.04×₩77,2335.63×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,949 a share)Now 19.0×₩38,36513.0×₩68,63223.3×₩106,42636.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,189 a share)Now 13.4×₩54,50413.0×₩97,50323.3×₩151,19536.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
9.1%₩30,214₩31,643₩33,271₩35,146₩37,328
9.6%₩28,365₩29,597₩30,990₩32,579₩34,408
10.1%₩26,722₩27,792₩28,995₩30,354₩31,904
10.6%₩25,253₩26,189₩27,234₩28,407₩29,734
11.1%₩23,932₩24,756₩25,670₩26,689₩27,834

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩2.7T
Enterprise value
₩2.6T
P/E
19.0×
P/B
4.1×
P/S
1.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.9%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩54,400₩27,250₩10,640₩5,020₩4,831
Market cap₩2.6T₩1.3T₩507B₩239B₩230B
P/E25.0×28.1×14.7×9.9×15.4×
P/B4.4×2.6×1.4×0.7×0.7×
P/S1.3×0.8×0.4×0.2×0.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.9%1.1%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Iljin Electric19.0×4.1×1.2×—0.9%
LS Electric61.1×11.2×4.2×37.8×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries30.5×6.9×2.8×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric18.7×7.0×3.7×—0.0%
Gaon Cable110.9×13.4×2.5×57.9×0.0%
Sanil Electric26.6×7.2×8.2×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.1×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)30.5×7.1×3.2×47.8×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Iljin Electric / 일진전기 / 103590 / KRX:103590

Source: KRX statistical information