Wonik Materials원익머트리얼즈
104830 · KOSDAQ · ₩104830 · 원익머트리얼즈
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩38,899
vs the current price (₩37,350)
- Enterprise value
- ₩456B
- Equity value
- ₩490B
- WACC
- 7.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩25,847
- −30.8%
- Base
- ₩38,899
- +4.1%
- Bull
- ₩60,222
- +61.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.4%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 16.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 15.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 19%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.69
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.54, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩350B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩9.3B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩43B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,608,000
- Share price
- ₩37,350
- Market cap
- ₩471B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩392B | ₩311B | ₩322B | ₩315B | ₩294B | ₩284B | ₩283B | ₩291B |
| Growth | −32.6% | −20.7% | 3.8% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩25B | ₩52B | ₩56B | ₩52B | ₩48B | ₩47B | ₩46B | ₩48B |
| EBIT margin | 6.3% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩18B | ₩38B | ₩41B | ₩37B | ₩35B | ₩34B | ₩34B | ₩35B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩48B | ₩45B | ₩43B | ₩43B | ₩44B |
| − Capital spending | ₩32B | ₩73B | ₩83B | ₩60B | ₩56B | ₩54B | ₩54B | ₩55B |
| − Working capital | −₩75B | −₩28B | ₩2.5B | −₩4.4B | −₩2.6B | −₩1.3B | −₩71M | ₩1.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩30B | ₩26B | ₩24B | ₩23B | ₩23B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.860 | 0.798 | 0.740 | 0.686 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩28B | ₩23B | ₩19B | ₩17B | ₩15B |
Terminal value ₩516B, worth ₩354B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩43,486 a share)Now 0.86× | ₩23,7780.55× | ₩35,9560.83× | ₩49,8931.15× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,303 a share)Now 8.68× | ₩26,4346.14× | ₩37,3508.68× | ₩84,44019.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,185 a share)Now 8.93× | ₩25,7076.14× | ₩36,3248.68× | ₩82,12019.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | ₩40,518 | ₩43,247 | ₩46,540 | ₩50,592 | ₩55,698 |
| 7.3% | ₩37,455 | ₩39,698 | ₩42,360 | ₩45,571 | ₩49,521 |
| 7.8% | ₩34,844 | ₩36,712 | ₩38,899 | ₩41,495 | ₩44,626 |
| 8.3% | ₩32,592 | ₩34,167 | ₩35,988 | ₩38,121 | ₩40,652 |
| 8.8% | ₩30,630 | ₩31,970 | ₩33,506 | ₩35,282 | ₩37,362 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩471B
- Enterprise value
- ₩479B
- P/E
- 8.7×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 1.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩30,900 | ₩17,240 | ₩30,050 | ₩28,400 | ₩35,400 |
| Market cap | ₩390B | ₩217B | ₩379B | ₩358B | ₩446B |
| P/E | 8.0× | 6.8× | 27.4× | 6.2× | 7.9× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 1.2× | 0.7× | 1.0× | 0.6× | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 5.4× |
| Dividend yield | 1.6% | 2.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wonik Materials | 8.7× | 0.9× | 1.3× | — | 1.3% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.9× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Wonik Materials / 원익머트리얼즈 / 104830 / KRX:104830
Source: KRX statistical information