Wonik Materials

104830 · KOSDAQ · ₩104830 · 원익머트리얼즈

₩37,350▲ ₩1,900 (5.36%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩38,899

vs the current price (₩37,350)

Enterprise value
₩456B
Equity value
₩490B
WACC
7.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩25,847
−30.8%
Base
₩38,899
+4.1%
Bull
₩60,222
+61.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-17.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 16.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 15.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 19%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 12.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.69

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.54, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩350B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩9.3B
+ Stakes and investments
₩43B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
12,608,000
Share price
₩37,350
Market cap
₩471B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩392B₩311B₩322B₩315B₩294B₩284B₩283B₩291B
Growth−32.6%−20.7%3.8%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩25B₩52B₩56B₩52B₩48B₩47B₩46B₩48B
EBIT margin6.3%16.7%17.5%16.4%16.4%16.4%16.4%16.4%
After-tax EBIT₩18B₩38B₩41B₩37B₩35B₩34B₩34B₩35B
+ Depreciation———₩48B₩45B₩43B₩43B₩44B
− Capital spending₩32B₩73B₩83B₩60B₩56B₩54B₩54B₩55B
− Working capital−₩75B−₩28B₩2.5B−₩4.4B−₩2.6B−₩1.3B−₩71M₩1.1B
Free cash flow———₩30B₩26B₩24B₩23B₩23B
Discount factor———0.9270.8600.7980.7400.686
Present value———₩28B₩23B₩19B₩17B₩15B

Terminal value ₩516B, worth ₩354B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩43,486 a share)Now 0.86×₩23,7780.55×₩35,9560.83×₩49,8931.15×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,303 a share)Now 8.68×₩26,4346.14×₩37,3508.68×₩84,44019.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,185 a share)Now 8.93×₩25,7076.14×₩36,3248.68×₩82,12019.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.8%₩40,518₩43,247₩46,540₩50,592₩55,698
7.3%₩37,455₩39,698₩42,360₩45,571₩49,521
7.8%₩34,844₩36,712₩38,899₩41,495₩44,626
8.3%₩32,592₩34,167₩35,988₩38,121₩40,652
8.8%₩30,630₩31,970₩33,506₩35,282₩37,362

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩471B
Enterprise value
₩479B
P/E
8.7×
P/B
0.9×
P/S
1.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩30,900₩17,240₩30,050₩28,400₩35,400
Market cap₩390B₩217B₩379B₩358B₩446B
P/E8.0×6.8×27.4×6.2×7.9×
P/B0.7×0.5×0.8×0.8×1.1×
P/S1.2×0.7×1.0×0.6×1.4×
EV/EBITDA————5.4×
Dividend yield1.6%2.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Wonik Materials8.7×0.9×1.3×—1.3%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.3×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.3×0.4×0.4×8.9×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Wonik Materials / 원익머트리얼즈 / 104830 / KRX:104830

Source: KRX statistical information