KNW

105330 · KOSDAQ · ₩105330 · 케이엔더블유

₩7,250▼ ₩190 (2.55%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩104B
Equity value
−₩233B
WACC
5.7%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩7,250, the model needs an operating margin of 30.0% every year (it uses 2.4%).
  • Margins ranged from −3.6% to 15.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -6.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 48.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.65

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.48, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩76B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩128B
Shares
16,019,520
Share price
₩7,250
Market cap
₩116B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩95B₩78B₩81B₩71B₩68B₩67B₩67B₩69B
Growth−4.2%−17.7%3.3%−6.6%−4.2%−1.8%0.6%3.0%
EBIT₩5.2B−₩2.3B−₩3B₩1.7B₩1.6B₩1.6B₩1.6B₩1.7B
EBIT margin5.5%−2.9%−3.6%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.4%
After-tax EBIT₩3.8B−₩1.7B−₩2.1B₩1.2B₩1.2B₩1.2B₩1.2B₩1.2B
+ Depreciation₩4.2B₩4.5B₩5.4B₩4B₩3.8B₩3.8B₩3.8B₩3.9B
− Capital spending₩7.2B₩21B₩91B₩35B₩33B₩33B₩33B₩34B
− Working capital₩12B−₩13B−₩4B−₩50M−₩30M−₩12M₩4M₩20M
Free cash flow−₩11B−₩4.6B−₩84B−₩30B−₩28B−₩28B−₩28B−₩29B
Discount factor———0.9460.8950.8470.8010.758
Present value———−₩28B−₩25B−₩24B−₩22B−₩22B

Terminal value ₩22B, worth ₩17B today: -16% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,038 a share)Now 1.03×₩3,5720.51×₩7,8781.12×₩18,8522.68×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.7%—————
5.2%—————
5.7%—————
6.2%—————
6.7%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩116B
Enterprise value
₩243B
P/E
—
P/B
1.0×
P/S
1.5×
EV/EBITDA
163.4×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,830₩3,475₩8,520₩8,100₩15,500
Market cap₩93B₩56B₩136B₩130B₩248B
P/E—16.2×66.5×7.2×243.4×
P/B0.8×0.4×1.1×1.7×4.3×
P/S1.2×0.7×1.4×1.3×3.5×
EV/EBITDA68.3×14.6×11.5×7.2×24.0×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KNW—1.0×1.5×163.4×0.0%
Hyundai Mobis8.3×0.6×0.5×—1.9%
SL5.9×0.8×0.4×3.6×0.0%
HL Mando10.3×0.6×0.2×—2.0%
Hyundai WIA18.9×0.4×0.2×—2.4%
Samhyun—11.2×15.8×—0.0%
SNT Dynamics12.5×0.7×0.8×—7.3%
Similar companies (median)10.3×0.6×0.4×3.6×2.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KNW / 케이엔더블유 / 105330 / KRX:105330

Source: KRX statistical information