DK-Lok디케이락
105740 · KOSDAQ · ₩105740 · 디케이락
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩15,585
vs the current price (₩11,070)
- Enterprise value
- ₩200B
- Equity value
- ₩158B
- WACC
- 6.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 41% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩11,070, the model needs an operating margin of 7.7% every year (it uses 9.4%).
- Or revenue growth −8.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −0.2% to 10.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 36% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 7.4× against a typical 12.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩6,702
- −39.5%
- Base
- ₩15,585
- +40.8%
- Bull
- ₩32,221
- +191.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.4%).
Revenue growth
- 5.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 9.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.26, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩149B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩42B
- − Minority interests
- ₩22M
- Shares
- 10,168,513
- Share price
- ₩11,070
- Market cap
- ₩113B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩111B | ₩98B | ₩129B | ₩157B | ₩165B | ₩172B | ₩178B | ₩183B |
| Growth | 1.4% | −11.7% | 30.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | −₩188M | ₩11B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B |
| EBIT margin | 10.6% | −0.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.5B | −₩137M | ₩8B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩6.1B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩8.5B | ₩2.9B | ₩5.3B | ₩7.7B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.7B | ₩9B |
| − Working capital | ₩13B | ₩163M | ₩15B | ₩3.2B | ₩3B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩5.9B | ₩6.6B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.939 | 0.882 | 0.828 | 0.777 | 0.730 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.6B | ₩5.8B | ₩6B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.2B |
Terminal value ₩234B, worth ₩170B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,651 a share)Now 0.81× | ₩7,8900.58× | ₩10,2490.75× | ₩15,9111.17× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,486 a share)Now 7.45× | ₩11,0707.45× | ₩18,54912.5× | ₩38,97426.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,377 a share)Now 8.04× | ₩10,2537.45× | ₩17,18112.5× | ₩36,09826.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | ₩17,546 | ₩19,278 | ₩21,496 | ₩24,442 | ₩28,554 |
| 6.0% | ₩15,249 | ₩16,550 | ₩18,170 | ₩20,244 | ₩23,000 |
| 6.5% | ₩13,371 | ₩14,370 | ₩15,585 | ₩17,097 | ₩19,033 |
| 7.0% | ₩11,809 | ₩12,589 | ₩13,520 | ₩14,651 | ₩16,058 |
| 7.5% | ₩10,490 | ₩11,107 | ₩11,831 | ₩12,695 | ₩13,746 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩113B
- Enterprise value
- ₩154B
- P/E
- 7.4×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,700 | ₩7,280 | ₩9,020 | ₩11,250 | ₩10,850 |
| Market cap | ₩99B | ₩74B | ₩92B | ₩114B | ₩110B |
| P/E | 14.6× | 34.7× | 7.9× | 19.6× | 12.3× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 1.0× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.0× | 1.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 3.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK-Lok | 7.4× | 0.8× | 0.8× | — | 2.7% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: DK-Lok / 디케이락 / 105740 / KRX:105740
Source: KRX statistical information