Sebitchem

107600 · KOSDAQ · ₩107600 · 새빗켐

₩10,400▲ ₩320 (3.17%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩106B
Equity value
−₩120B
WACC
8.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩10,400, the model needs an operating margin of 22.7% every year (it uses −13.9%).
  • Margins ranged from −24.5% to 21.2% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−13.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -7.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -13.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 39%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 48.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 23.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.89

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.83, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩49B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩15B
Shares
5,650,054
Share price
₩10,400
Market cap
₩59B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩46B₩30B₩38B₩45B₩43B₩42B₩42B₩43B
Growth−4.4%−34.0%26.5%−7.3%−4.7%−2.1%0.4%3.0%
EBIT−₩4.9B−₩6.2B−₩9.4B−₩6.3B−₩6B−₩5.8B−₩5.9B−₩6B
EBIT margin−10.7%−20.3%−24.5%−13.9%−13.9%−13.9%−13.9%−13.9%
After-tax EBIT−₩3.6B−₩4.5B−₩6.8B−₩4.5B−₩4.3B−₩4.2B−₩4.2B−₩4.4B
+ Depreciation———₩18B₩17B₩16B₩16B₩17B
− Capital spending₩27B₩26B₩654M₩22B₩21B₩20B₩21B₩21B
− Working capital₩10B−₩24B₩7.7B−₩840M−₩501M−₩213M₩40M₩300M
Free cash flow———−₩8.1B−₩8B−₩8.1B−₩8.4B−₩8.9B
Discount factor———0.9260.8570.7940.7350.681
Present value———−₩7.5B−₩6.8B−₩6.4B−₩6.2B−₩6.1B

Terminal value −₩107B, worth −₩73B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩8,212 a share)Now 1.27×₩12,8001.56×₩25,9993.17×₩66,5928.11×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.0%—————
7.5%—————
8.0%—————
8.5%—————
9.0%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩59B
Enterprise value
₩73B
P/E
—
P/B
1.3×
P/S
1.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

2025202420232022
Price₩28,950₩15,530₩69,100₩76,300
Market cap₩164B₩88B₩390B₩431B
P/E———56.0×
P/B3.6×1.7×6.2×6.8×
P/S4.3×2.9×8.5×9.0×
EV/EBITDA————
Dividend yield0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sebitchem—1.3×1.2×—0.0%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Solutions—0.5×0.3×—0.0%
Hanwha6.1×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—1.8×1.7×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×9.0×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.2×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.2×0.4×0.4×9.0×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sebitchem / 새빗켐 / 107600 / KRX:107600

Source: KRX statistical information