Sebitchem새빗켐
107600 · KOSDAQ · ₩107600 · 새빗켐
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩106B
- Equity value
- −₩120B
- WACC
- 8.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,400, the model needs an operating margin of 22.7% every year (it uses −13.9%).
- Margins ranged from −24.5% to 21.2% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−13.9%).
Revenue growth
- -7.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -13.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 39%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 48.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 23.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.89
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.83, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩49B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩15B
- Shares
- 5,650,054
- Share price
- ₩10,400
- Market cap
- ₩59B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩46B | ₩30B | ₩38B | ₩45B | ₩43B | ₩42B | ₩42B | ₩43B |
| Growth | −4.4% | −34.0% | 26.5% | −7.3% | −4.7% | −2.1% | 0.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩4.9B | −₩6.2B | −₩9.4B | −₩6.3B | −₩6B | −₩5.8B | −₩5.9B | −₩6B |
| EBIT margin | −10.7% | −20.3% | −24.5% | −13.9% | −13.9% | −13.9% | −13.9% | −13.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩3.6B | −₩4.5B | −₩6.8B | −₩4.5B | −₩4.3B | −₩4.2B | −₩4.2B | −₩4.4B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| − Capital spending | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩654M | ₩22B | ₩21B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩21B |
| − Working capital | ₩10B | −₩24B | ₩7.7B | −₩840M | −₩501M | −₩213M | ₩40M | ₩300M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩8.1B | −₩8B | −₩8.1B | −₩8.4B | −₩8.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩7.5B | −₩6.8B | −₩6.4B | −₩6.2B | −₩6.1B |
Terminal value −₩107B, worth −₩73B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,212 a share)Now 1.27× | ₩12,8001.56× | ₩25,9993.17× | ₩66,5928.11× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩59B
- Enterprise value
- ₩73B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 1.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩28,950 | ₩15,530 | ₩69,100 | ₩76,300 |
| Market cap | ₩164B | ₩88B | ₩390B | ₩431B |
| P/E | — | — | — | 56.0× |
| P/B | 3.6× | 1.7× | 6.2× | 6.8× |
| P/S | 4.3× | 2.9× | 8.5× | 9.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebitchem | — | 1.3× | 1.2× | — | 0.0% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.1× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 1.8× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 9.0× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 9.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sebitchem / 새빗켐 / 107600 / KRX:107600
Source: KRX statistical information