Daeyang Electric대양전기공업
108380 · KOSDAQ · ₩108380 · 대양전기공업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩32,438
vs the current price (₩15,290)
- Enterprise value
- ₩227B
- Equity value
- ₩310B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 112% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩15,290, the model needs an operating margin of 3.7% every year (it uses 6.9%).
- Margins ranged from −7.6% to 11.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 5.0× against a typical 11.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩18,473
- +20.8%
- Base
- ₩32,438
- +112.2%
- Bull
- ₩57,237
- +274.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.9%).
Revenue growth
- 20.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 16.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 32.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.4, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩240B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩74B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩9.6B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 9,567,333
- Share price
- ₩15,290
- Market cap
- ₩146B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩154B | ₩196B | ₩230B | ₩290B | ₩337B | ₩377B | ₩406B | ₩418B |
| Growth | 18.4% | 27.2% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩16B | ₩27B | ₩20B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| EBIT margin | 2.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.7B | ₩11B | ₩20B | ₩14B | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| + Depreciation | ₩4.3B | ₩5B | ₩5.5B | ₩7.5B | ₩8.8B | ₩9.8B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| − Capital spending | ₩11B | ₩5.2B | ₩7.2B | ₩12B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| − Working capital | −₩16B | ₩29B | ₩7.3B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩9.2B | ₩4B |
| Free cash flow | ₩12B | −₩18B | ₩11B | −₩6.6B | −₩4.3B | −₩580M | ₩4.2B | ₩9.8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩6.2B | −₩3.7B | −₩469M | ₩3.2B | ₩6.9B |
Terminal value ₩324B, worth ₩227B today: 100% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩29,041 a share)Now 0.53× | ₩14,3910.50× | ₩16,7760.58× | ₩30,2631.04× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,088 a share)Now 4.95× | ₩19,8956.44× | ₩36,44011.8× | ₩197,95564.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,204 a share)Now 4.77× | ₩20,6446.44× | ₩37,81211.8× | ₩205,40464.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩35,319 | ₩37,103 | ₩39,284 | ₩42,012 | ₩45,532 |
| 6.9% | ₩32,479 | ₩33,855 | ₩35,503 | ₩37,515 | ₩40,033 |
| 7.4% | ₩30,096 | ₩31,172 | ₩32,438 | ₩33,953 | ₩35,803 |
| 7.9% | ₩28,071 | ₩28,921 | ₩29,906 | ₩31,066 | ₩32,454 |
| 8.4% | ₩26,330 | ₩27,007 | ₩27,782 | ₩28,681 | ₩29,738 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩146B
- Enterprise value
- ₩72B
- P/E
- 5.0×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- 2.0×
- Dividend yield
- 1.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩27,700 | ₩12,850 | ₩11,720 | ₩12,000 | ₩15,000 |
| Market cap | ₩265B | ₩123B | ₩112B | ₩115B | ₩144B |
| P/E | 10.7× | 6.3× | 13.4× | — | 16.2× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 1.2× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.9× | 1.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.7× | 4.2× | 9.1× | — | 9.8× |
| Dividend yield | 0.7% | 0.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeyang Electric | 5.0× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 2.0× | 1.3% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries | 11.9× | 2.8× | 1.4× | — | 2.0% |
| Hanwha Ocean | 7.8× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Heavy Industries | 25.7× | 3.0× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Daehan Shipbuilding | 4.7× | 1.2× | 1.1× | — | 0.7% |
| Sejin Heavy Industries | 6.6× | 1.7× | 1.1× | — | 3.0% |
| Hyundai Hyms | 14.7× | 1.4× | 1.4× | — | 1.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 9.8× | 1.9× | 1.2× | — | 1.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daeyang Electric / 대양전기공업 / 108380 / KRX:108380
Source: KRX statistical information