LX Hausys

108670 · KOSPI · ₩108670 · LX하우시스

₩28,300▼ ₩950 (3.25%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩52,183

vs the current price (₩28,300)

Enterprise value
₩997B
Equity value
₩522B
WACC
5.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 84% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩28,300, the model needs an operating margin of 1.6% every year (it uses 2.0%).
  • Or revenue growth −7.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩52,183
+84.4%
Bull
₩343,767
+1,114.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 7.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.29, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩3.3T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩476B
Shares
10,000,000
incl. 1,032,330 preferred
Share price
₩28,300
Market cap
₩272B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩3.5T₩3.6T₩3.2T₩3.2T₩3.1T₩3.1T₩3.1T₩3.2T
Growth−2.4%1.3%−11.0%−4.2%−2.4%−0.6%1.2%3.0%
EBIT₩110B₩97B₩13B₩64B₩62B₩62B₩63B₩65B
EBIT margin3.1%2.7%0.4%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%
After-tax EBIT₩80B₩71B₩9.5B₩46B₩45B₩45B₩45B₩47B
+ Depreciation———₩70B₩69B₩68B₩69B₩71B
− Capital spending₩102B₩101B₩80B₩86B₩84B₩84B₩85B₩87B
− Working capital−₩98B₩70B−₩25B−₩11B−₩5.9B−₩1.4B₩2.9B₩7.2B
Free cash flow———₩41B₩35B₩31B₩27B₩23B
Discount factor———0.9510.9040.8590.8170.776
Present value———₩39B₩32B₩27B₩22B₩18B

Terminal value ₩1.1T, worth ₩860B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩92,473 a share)Now 0.31×₩30,9500.33×₩41,7620.45×₩58,4900.63×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.2%₩62,244₩76,727₩97,750₩131,090₩192,159
4.7%₩47,176₩57,132₩70,740₩90,493₩121,816
5.2%₩35,707₩42,844₩52,183₩64,946₩83,470
5.7%₩26,687₩31,967₩38,649₩47,391₩59,338
6.2%₩19,410₩23,412₩28,345₩34,588₩42,753

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩254B
Enterprise value
₩626B
P/E
7.0×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩28,800₩31,900₩43,600₩31,250₩61,500
Market cap₩258B₩286B₩391B₩280B₩552B
P/E—6.5×6.3×—42.1×
P/B0.3×0.3×0.5×0.4×0.6×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×0.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%3.1%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
LX Hausys7.0×0.3×0.1×—0.0%
Hankook Tire & Technology5.8×0.5×0.3×—4.0%
Kumho Tire3.1×0.6×0.3×—0.0%
Pum-Tech Korea19.8×2.5×2.1×—0.7%
Dongwon Systems9.7×0.7×0.4×5.7×2.8%
Nexen Tire3.6×0.3×0.2×—3.5%
PI Advanced Materials12.4×1.2×1.7×5.0×2.3%
Similar companies (median)7.7×0.6×0.4×5.4×2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: LX Hausys / LX하우시스 / 108670 / KRX:108670

Source: KRX statistical information