Genematrix진매트릭스
109820 · KOSDAQ · ₩109820 · 진매트릭스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩16B
- Equity value
- −₩3.6B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,432, the model needs an operating margin of 11.9% every year (it uses −11.6%).
- Margins ranged from −26.0% to −6.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−11.6%).
Revenue growth
- -1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -11.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩11B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩13B
- Shares
- 20,393,640
- Share price
- ₩1,432
- Market cap
- ₩29B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩9.8B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| Growth | −12.5% | 2.1% | 6.2% | −1.7% | −0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.5B | −₩1.6B | −₩679M | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B |
| EBIT margin | −26.0% | −16.4% | −6.4% | −11.6% | −11.6% | −11.6% | −11.6% | −11.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.8B | −₩1.2B | −₩492M | −₩900M | −₩895M | −₩901M | −₩917M | −₩944M |
| + Depreciation | ₩559M | ₩572M | ₩529M | ₩588M | ₩585M | ₩589M | ₩600M | ₩618M |
| − Capital spending | ₩161M | ₩34M | ₩65M | ₩96M | ₩96M | ₩96M | ₩98M | ₩101M |
| − Working capital | −₩11B | −₩54M | −₩651M | −₩74M | −₩21M | ₩26M | ₩77M | ₩131M |
| Free cash flow | ₩9.1B | −₩597M | ₩624M | −₩334M | −₩384M | −₩434M | −₩492M | −₩559M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩311M | −₩333M | −₩350M | −₩370M | −₩391M |
Terminal value −₩21B, worth −₩14B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩880 a share)Now 1.63× | ₩1,9512.22× | ₩2,4932.83× | ₩4,0134.56× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | ₩20 | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | ₩67 | ₩20 | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩29B
- Enterprise value
- ₩17B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.6×
- P/S
- 2.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- 56.2×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,455 | ₩2,720 | ₩3,105 | ₩4,055 | ₩9,780 |
| Market cap | ₩50B | ₩55B | ₩63B | ₩83B | ₩199B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 2.9× | 2.9× | 2.7× | 3.4× | 6.2× |
| P/S | 4.7× | 5.5× | 6.5× | 7.4× | 16.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genematrix | — | 1.6× | 2.7× | 56.2× | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.0× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 80.5× | 29.0× | 61.2× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.7× | 5.8× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 24.0× | 2.4× | 2.5× | 31.3× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.7× | 55.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 31.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Genematrix / 진매트릭스 / 109820 / KRX:109820
Source: KRX statistical information