Dongil Metal

109860 · KOSDAQ · ₩109860 · 동일금속

₩7,160▼ ₩20 (0.28%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,382

vs the current price (₩7,160)

Enterprise value
₩43B
Equity value
₩38B
WACC
7.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 39% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩7,160, the model needs an operating margin of 6.8% every year (it uses 4.9%).
  • Or revenue growth +33.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 0.7% to 12.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 40% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 13.1× against a typical 10.6× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,405
−80.4%
Base
₩4,382
−38.8%
Bull
₩10,145
+41.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -6.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩105B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩4.7B
− Minority interests
₩163M
Shares
8,700,000
Share price
₩7,160
Market cap
₩62B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩110B₩86B₩92B₩98B₩94B₩93B₩93B₩96B
Growth−0.9%−22.1%6.7%−6.3%−4.0%−1.6%0.7%3.0%
EBIT₩12B₩618M₩1.4B₩4.8B₩4.6B₩4.5B₩4.6B₩4.7B
EBIT margin11.2%0.7%1.6%4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%
After-tax EBIT₩9B₩448M₩1B₩3.5B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.4B
+ Depreciation₩1.8B——₩1.6B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.5B
− Capital spending₩3.7B₩3.4B₩4.4B₩4B₩3.9B₩3.8B₩3.8B₩3.9B
− Working capital−₩3.4B−₩3.9B−₩8.3B−₩2.6B−₩1.6B−₩602M₩259M₩1.1B
Free cash flow₩10B——₩3.7B₩2.6B₩1.6B₩722M−₩108M
Discount factor———0.9340.8720.8150.7610.710
Present value———₩3.4B₩2.2B₩1.3B₩549M−₩77M

Terminal value ₩50B, worth ₩36B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩18,066 a share)Now 0.40×₩7,5170.42×₩9,5270.53×₩24,8171.37×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩545 a share)Now 13.1×₩4,2567.81×₩5,78210.6×₩7,44013.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩470 a share)Now 15.2×₩3,6717.81×₩4,98810.6×₩6,41813.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.1%₩5,205₩5,402₩5,643₩5,947₩6,344
6.6%₩4,656₩4,787₩4,943₩5,134₩5,373
7.1%₩4,198₩4,283₩4,382₩4,499₩4,641
7.6%₩3,811₩3,864₩3,923₩3,991₩4,070
8.1%₩3,480₩3,509₩3,541₩3,575₩3,613

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩62B
Enterprise value
₩67B
P/E
13.1×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
4.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,930₩8,100₩9,000₩18,250₩14,400
Market cap₩69B₩70B₩78B₩159B₩125B
P/E13.7×9.7×245.6×11.3×8.3×
P/B0.4×0.5×0.5×1.0×0.9×
P/S0.8×0.8×0.7×1.4×1.8×
EV/EBITDA——4.1×9.1×28.8×
Dividend yield4.0%4.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Dongil Metal13.1×0.4×0.6×—4.5%
POSCO Holdings16.1×0.4×0.3×7.7×3.7%
Korea Zinc18.6×1.6×0.9×—2.3%
Hyundai Steel—0.2×0.1×—1.9%
Poongsan8.0×0.7×0.3×5.9×3.0%
SeAH Besteel Holdings11.5×0.5×0.3×9.2×4.2%
Sama Aluminium—4.0×2.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)13.8×0.6×0.3×7.7×2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Dongil Metal / 동일금속 / 109860 / KRX:109860

Source: KRX statistical information