Aptocrom앱토크롬
109960 · KOSDAQ · ₩109960 · 앱토크롬
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩18B
- Equity value
- −₩14B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,745, the model needs an operating margin of 16.8% every year (it uses −11.1%).
- Margins ranged from −30.6% to 5.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 0.7× against a typical 17.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−11.1%).
Revenue growth
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -11.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -2.49, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩11B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩3.5B
- Shares
- 15,132,233
- Share price
- ₩1,745
- Market cap
- ₩26B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩9.8B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B |
| Growth | 66.8% | 2.5% | −40.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩189M | ₩967M | −₩2.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B |
| EBIT margin | 1.2% | 5.9% | −23.3% | −11.1% | −11.1% | −11.1% | −11.1% | −11.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩137M | ₩701M | −₩1.7B | −₩874M | −₩885M | −₩902M | −₩924M | −₩951M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩22M | ₩22M | ₩22M | ₩23M | ₩24M |
| − Capital spending | ₩28M | ₩82M | ₩14M | ₩33M | ₩33M | ₩34M | ₩34M | ₩35M |
| − Working capital | −₩92B | ₩37B | −₩9.3B | ₩30M | ₩56M | ₩84M | ₩108M | ₩138M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩915M | −₩953M | −₩997M | −₩1B | −₩1.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩852M | −₩826M | −₩804M | −₩783M | −₩770M |
Terminal value −₩20B, worth −₩14B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩23,906 a share)Now 0.07× | ₩3,5150.15× | ₩15,2940.64× | ₩111,9834.68× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,541 a share)Now 0.69× | ₩1,8870.74× | ₩43,12417.0× | ₩189,18074.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩12,181 a share)Now 0.14× | ₩9,0450.74× | ₩206,70317.0× | ₩906,79074.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩26B
- Enterprise value
- ₩23B
- P/E
- 0.7×
- P/B
- 0.1×
- P/S
- 2.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,820 | ₩10,045 | ₩15,019 | ₩43,108 | ₩80,584 |
| Market cap | ₩73B | ₩152B | ₩227B | ₩652B | ₩1.2T |
| P/E | — | — | 52.8× | — | 460.2× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 3.3× | 5.5× |
| P/S | 7.4× | 9.3× | 14.2× | 68.0× | 144.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aptocrom | 0.7× | 0.1× | 2.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Aptocrom / 앱토크롬 / 109960 / KRX:109960
Source: KRX statistical information