Creas F&C크리스에프앤씨
110790 · KOSDAQ · ₩110790 · 크리스에프앤씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,676
vs the current price (₩2,765)
- Enterprise value
- ₩308B
- Equity value
- ₩39B
- WACC
- 4.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 39% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,765, the model needs an operating margin of 9.7% every year (it uses 9.1%).
- Or revenue growth +2.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −1.5% to 23.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩1,676
- −39.4%
- Bull
- ₩19,856
- +618.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.1%).
Revenue growth
- -6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 9.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 9.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 11.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩196B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩276B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩7.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 23,430,960
- Share price
- ₩2,765
- Market cap
- ₩65B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩367B | ₩331B | ₩312B | ₩183B | ₩176B | ₩173B | ₩174B | ₩179B |
| Growth | −3.6% | −9.7% | −5.8% | −6.4% | −4.1% | −1.7% | 0.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩46B | ₩12B | −₩4.7B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B |
| EBIT margin | 12.6% | 3.7% | −1.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩33B | ₩8.8B | −₩3.4B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B |
| − Capital spending | ₩14B | ₩41B | ₩61B | ₩22B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩21B |
| − Working capital | ₩63B | −₩46B | ₩84B | −₩5B | −₩3B | −₩1.2B | ₩415M | ₩2.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩10B | ₩8.4B | ₩6.9B | ₩5.4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.956 | 0.914 | 0.873 | 0.835 | 0.798 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩9.5B | ₩7.4B | ₩5.7B | ₩4.3B |
Terminal value ₩337B, worth ₩269B today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩17,345 a share)Now 0.16× | ₩4,2840.25× | ₩8,5010.49× | ₩26,6431.54× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,216 a share)Now 2.27× | ₩4,6533.83× | ₩9,8868.13× | ₩36,38029.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.6% | ₩3,148 | ₩5,655 | ₩9,698 | ₩17,325 | ₩37,142 |
| 4.1% | ₩802 | ₩2,400 | ₩4,742 | ₩8,520 | ₩15,645 |
| 4.6% | — | ₩187 | ₩1,676 | ₩3,860 | ₩7,381 |
| 5.1% | — | — | — | ₩976 | ₩3,006 |
| 5.6% | — | — | — | — | ₩298 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩65B
- Enterprise value
- ₩341B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 7.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,050 | ₩6,020 | ₩8,460 | ₩10,300 | ₩22,001 |
| Market cap | ₩95B | ₩141B | ₩198B | ₩241B | ₩515B |
| P/E | 7.4× | — | 8.2× | 9.0× | 7.5× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 1.7× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.9% | 3.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Creas F&C / 크리스에프앤씨 / 110790 / KRX:110790
Source: KRX statistical information