CS Wind씨에스윈드
112610 · KOSPI · ₩112610 · 씨에스윈드
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩114,012
vs the current price (₩39,550)
- Enterprise value
- ₩5.2T
- Equity value
- ₩4.8T
- WACC
- 6.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 188% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩39,550, the model needs an operating margin of 4.3% every year (it uses 8.6%).
- Or revenue growth −22.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 385.5× against a typical 38.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩54,525
- +37.9%
- Base
- ₩114,012
- +188.3%
- Bull
- ₩220,130
- +456.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.6%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 7.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 8.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.31, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.8T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩373B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩27B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩54B
- Shares
- 42,171,403
- Share price
- ₩39,550
- Market cap
- ₩1.7T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.5T | ₩3.1T | ₩2.9T | ₩3.5T | ₩4.1T | ₩4.7T | ₩5.1T | ₩5.3T |
| Growth | 10.6% | 102.1% | −4.6% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩105B | ₩255B | ₩320B | ₩299B | ₩357B | ₩407B | ₩441B | ₩455B |
| EBIT margin | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩76B | ₩185B | ₩232B | ₩216B | ₩259B | ₩295B | ₩320B | ₩330B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩208B | ₩249B | ₩284B | ₩308B | ₩317B |
| − Capital spending | ₩193B | ₩202B | ₩93B | ₩260B | ₩311B | ₩355B | ₩385B | ₩396B |
| − Working capital | −₩235B | −₩123B | ₩106B | ₩58B | ₩56B | ₩48B | ₩33B | ₩13B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩107B | ₩140B | ₩176B | ₩210B | ₩237B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.937 | 0.878 | 0.823 | 0.771 | 0.722 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩100B | ₩123B | ₩145B | ₩162B | ₩172B |
Terminal value ₩6.2T, worth ₩4.5T today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩30,488 a share)Now 1.30× | ₩43,4301.42× | ₩75,0052.46× | ₩102,3083.36× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩103 a share)Now 385.5× | ₩8708.48× | ₩3,90838.1× | ₩7,52773.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩5,652 a share)Now 7.00× | ₩47,9468.48× | ₩215,29238.1× | ₩414,66373.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | ₩120,266 | ₩133,267 | ₩149,747 | ₩171,325 | ₩200,805 |
| 6.2% | ₩106,856 | ₩117,097 | ₩129,752 | ₩145,794 | ₩166,798 |
| 6.7% | ₩95,809 | ₩104,043 | ₩114,012 | ₩126,331 | ₩141,947 |
| 7.2% | ₩86,555 | ₩93,289 | ₩101,304 | ₩111,009 | ₩123,001 |
| 7.7% | ₩78,693 | ₩84,279 | ₩90,834 | ₩98,638 | ₩108,085 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.7T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.8T
- P/E
- 385.5×
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩41,600 | ₩41,900 | ₩70,200 | ₩68,800 | ₩65,700 |
| Market cap | ₩1.8T | ₩1.8T | ₩3T | ₩2.9T | ₩2.8T |
| P/E | 50.6× | 12.4× | 149.0× | — | 41.8× |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.5× | 3.3× | 3.3× | 3.1× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.6× | 1.9× | 2.1× | 2.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.4% | 2.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Wind | 385.5× | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 2.5% |
| Hankuk Carbon | 7.8× | 1.2× | 0.9× | — | 2.1% |
| Taewoong | 65.8× | 0.8× | 1.3× | 21.0× | 0.0% |
| YG-1 | 5.1× | 0.8× | 0.5× | — | 1.8% |
| Bosung Power Technology | 18.8× | 2.1× | 1.8× | 8.5× | 0.0% |
| HT Robotics | 44.6× | 3.2× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hansun Engineering | 37.9× | 2.7× | 3.1× | 15.0× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.4× | 1.7× | 1.6× | 15.0× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: CS Wind / 씨에스윈드 / 112610 / KRX:112610
Source: KRX statistical information