Dgenx디젠스
113810 · KOSDAQ · ₩113810 · 디젠스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,725
vs the current price (₩2,780)
- Enterprise value
- ₩34B
- Equity value
- ₩37B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 106% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,780, the model needs an operating margin of 1.7% every year (it uses 3.1%).
- 33% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 7.9× against a typical 8.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,665
- −40.1%
- Base
- ₩5,725
- +105.9%
- Bull
- ₩13,143
- +372.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.1%).
Revenue growth
- 7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 16.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩83B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩1.8B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩44M
- Shares
- 6,525,610
- Share price
- ₩2,780
- Market cap
- ₩18B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩86B | ₩90B | ₩80B | ₩89B | ₩95B | ₩99B | ₩104B | ₩107B |
| Growth | 32.5% | 4.1% | −10.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3B | ₩5.5B | ₩963M | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B |
| EBIT margin | 3.5% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.2B | ₩4B | ₩698M | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.9B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1B | ₩697M | ₩721M | ₩801M | ₩851M | ₩895M | ₩932M | ₩960M |
| − Working capital | ₩6.8B | ₩1.3B | −₩2.1B | ₩1B | ₩947M | ₩831M | ₩689M | ₩525M |
| Free cash flow | −₩3.7B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B | ₩1.9B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.8B | ₩3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B |
Terminal value ₩35B, worth ₩24B today: 71% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,302 a share)Now 0.65× | ₩4,1150.96× | ₩7,6531.78× | ₩10,3582.41× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩352 a share)Now 7.90× | ₩2,3336.63× | ₩3,1348.91× | ₩9,83027.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩413 a share)Now 6.73× | ₩2,7416.63× | ₩3,6828.91× | ₩11,55127.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩6,296 | ₩6,549 | ₩6,857 | ₩7,244 | ₩7,744 |
| 6.8% | ₩5,816 | ₩6,006 | ₩6,233 | ₩6,511 | ₩6,858 |
| 7.3% | ₩5,410 | ₩5,555 | ₩5,725 | ₩5,928 | ₩6,175 |
| 7.8% | ₩5,064 | ₩5,174 | ₩5,302 | ₩5,453 | ₩5,632 |
| 8.3% | ₩4,764 | ₩4,849 | ₩4,946 | ₩5,058 | ₩5,189 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩18B
- Enterprise value
- ₩16B
- P/E
- 7.9×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- 4.0×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,935 | ₩7,950 | ₩5,880 | ₩4,770 | ₩4,545 |
| Market cap | ₩26B | ₩52B | ₩38B | ₩31B | ₩30B |
| P/E | 34.4× | 11.6× | 13.0× | — | 7.9× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 2.3× | 2.2× | 1.9× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.4× | 8.1× | 9.7× | 10.5× | 6.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 1.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dgenx | 7.9× | 0.6× | 0.2× | 4.0× | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.2× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 2.0% |
| SL | 6.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.5× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 2.0% |
| Samhyun | — | 13.0× | 18.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 19.0× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| SNT Dynamics | 13.6× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.5× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 2.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dgenx / 디젠스 / 113810 / KRX:113810
Source: KRX statistical information