Kangwon Energy

114190 · KOSDAQ · ₩114190 · 강원에너지

₩7,220▲ ₩60 (0.84%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩5.9B
Equity value
−₩59B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩7,220, the model needs an operating margin of 7.6% every year (it uses 2.0%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩2,554
−64.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (43.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (43.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (43.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (43.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (43.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 24.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.65

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.48, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩188B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩25B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1.5B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩30B
Shares
26,123,038
Share price
₩7,220
Market cap
₩189B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩139B₩224B₩212B₩235B₩280B₩319B₩347B₩357B
Growth95.0%61.2%−5.4%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩6.9B₩6.8B−₩6.1B₩4.7B₩5.6B₩6.4B₩6.9B₩7.1B
EBIT margin5.0%3.0%−2.9%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%
After-tax EBIT₩5B₩4.9B−₩4.4B₩3.4B₩4.1B₩4.6B₩5B₩5.2B
+ Depreciation———₩11B₩13B₩14B₩16B₩16B
− Capital spending₩16B₩7.2B₩4.2B₩13B₩16B₩18B₩19B₩20B
− Working capital₩34B₩5.9B−₩30B₩11B₩11B₩9.6B₩6.7B₩2.5B
Free cash flow———−₩11B−₩10B−₩8.5B−₩5.4B−₩1.3B
Discount factor———0.9320.8690.8100.7550.704
Present value———−₩9.9B−₩8.9B−₩6.9B−₩4.1B−₩914M

Terminal value ₩35B, worth ₩25B today: -422% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,244 a share)Now 5.81×₩5,6974.58×₩10,6138.53×₩20,91416.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%—————
6.8%—————
7.3%—————
7.8%—————
8.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩189B
Enterprise value
₩212B
P/E
—
P/B
5.8×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩12,550₩8,950₩17,900₩8,800₩5,000
Market cap₩328B₩234B₩468B₩230B₩131B
P/E——88.9×66.5×22.5×
P/B9.5×5.8×12.0×7.1×4.6×
P/S1.5×1.0×3.4×3.2×3.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kangwon Energy—5.8×1.0×—0.0%
LS Electric61.0×11.1×4.2×37.7×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries30.5×6.9×2.8×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric19.1×7.2×3.7×—0.0%
Gaon Cable106.8×12.9×2.4×55.6×0.0%
Sanil Electric27.2×7.4×8.3×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.2×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)30.5×7.3×3.3×46.7×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kangwon Energy / 강원에너지 / 114190 / KRX:114190

Source: KRX statistical information