Qurient큐리언트
115180 · KOSDAQ · ₩115180 · 큐리언트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩22B
- Equity value
- −₩33B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −496.2% to −257.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -6.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 18.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩7.1B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩7.3B
- − Minority interests
- ₩4.6B
- Shares
- 37,534,151
- Share price
- ₩17,970
- Market cap
- ₩674B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩9B | ₩9.2B | ₩7B | ₩6.6B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B |
| Growth | 6.7% | 1.6% | −23.9% | −6.2% | −3.9% | −1.6% | 0.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩23B | −₩27B | −₩30B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B |
| EBIT margin | −257.0% | −299.3% | −426.3% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩17B | −₩20B | −₩22B | −₩961M | −₩924M | −₩909M | −₩915M | −₩943M |
| + Depreciation | ₩41M | ₩35M | ₩31M | ₩27M | ₩25M | ₩25M | ₩25M | ₩26M |
| − Capital spending | ₩101M | ₩84M | ₩3.7B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩4B | ₩26B | −₩4.9B | −₩175M | −₩103M | −₩41M | ₩18M | ₩76M |
| Free cash flow | −₩13B | −₩46B | −₩20B | −₩2B | −₩2B | −₩2B | −₩2.1B | −₩2.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.808 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.8B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B |
Terminal value −₩19B, worth −₩13B today: 62% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩459 a share)Now 39.2× | ₩1,5993.49× | ₩4,2169.19× | ₩12,75427.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩674B
- Enterprise value
- ₩682B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 39.2×
- P/S
- 95.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩28,842 | ₩4,114 | ₩4,453 | ₩7,035 | ₩12,377 |
| Market cap | ₩1.1T | ₩154B | ₩167B | ₩264B | ₩465B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 31.8× | 3.1× | 3.8× | 8.5× | 9.0× |
| P/S | 155.0× | 16.8× | 18.5× | 31.2× | 95.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qurient | — | 39.2× | 95.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.0× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 80.5× | 29.0× | 61.2× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.7× | 5.8× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 24.0× | 2.4× | 2.5× | 31.3× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.7× | 55.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 31.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Qurient / 큐리언트 / 115180 / KRX:115180
Source: KRX statistical information