Daesung Energy대성에너지
117580 · KOSPI · ₩117580 · 대성에너지
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,770
vs the current price (₩6,970)
- Enterprise value
- ₩274B
- Equity value
- ₩269B
- WACC
- 7.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 40% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,970, the model needs an operating margin of 1.7% every year (it uses 2.3%).
- Or revenue growth −6.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 6.5× against a typical 12.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩9,770
- +40.2%
- Bull
- ₩28,253
- +305.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.3%).
Revenue growth
- -0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩977B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩12B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6.7B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 27,500,000
- Share price
- ₩6,970
- Market cap
- ₩192B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩999B | ₩994B | ₩1T | ₩976B | ₩983B | ₩997B | ₩1T | ₩1T |
| Growth | −2.1% | −0.5% | 2.4% | −0.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩30B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B |
| EBIT margin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩22B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩23B |
| − Capital spending | ₩28B | ₩32B | ₩22B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩28B |
| − Working capital | ₩17B | −₩46B | ₩18B | ₩42M | −₩294M | −₩634M | −₩943M | −₩1.3B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.870 | 0.812 | 0.758 | 0.707 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.6B |
Terminal value ₩317B, worth ₩224B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,138 a share)Now 0.53× | ₩7,9910.61× | ₩9,3880.71× | ₩12,8510.98× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,068 a share)Now 6.53× | ₩8,6048.06× | ₩13,25412.4× | ₩32,86030.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩447 a share)Now 15.6× | ₩3,6058.06× | ₩5,55312.4× | ₩13,76730.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | ₩9,891 | ₩10,944 | ₩12,249 | ₩13,909 | ₩16,093 |
| 6.7% | ₩8,970 | ₩9,831 | ₩10,876 | ₩12,173 | ₩13,824 |
| 7.2% | ₩8,198 | ₩8,915 | ₩9,770 | ₩10,809 | ₩12,098 |
| 7.7% | ₩7,543 | ₩8,147 | ₩8,859 | ₩9,709 | ₩10,742 |
| 8.2% | ₩6,979 | ₩7,495 | ₩8,096 | ₩8,803 | ₩9,648 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩192B
- Enterprise value
- ₩186B
- P/E
- 6.5×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,040 | ₩8,490 | ₩8,120 | ₩9,140 | ₩9,150 |
| Market cap | ₩221B | ₩233B | ₩223B | ₩251B | ₩252B |
| P/E | 9.0× | 13.4× | 15.1× | 206.1× | 20.1× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 2.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daesung Energy | 6.5× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 3.6% |
| Korea Electric Power | 2.3× | 0.4× | 0.2× | 5.7× | 5.4% |
| Korea Gas | 6.0× | 0.3× | 0.1× | 8.6× | 3.1% |
| Korea District Heating | 2.3× | 0.3× | 0.2× | 4.8× | 8.6% |
| SGC Energy | — | 0.7× | 0.2× | — | 3.9% |
| Samchully | 3.2× | 0.2× | 0.1× | — | 2.5% |
| Seoul City Gas | 11.4× | 0.2× | 0.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 3.2× | 0.3× | 0.2× | 5.7× | 3.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daesung Energy / 대성에너지 / 117580 / KRX:117580
Source: KRX statistical information