Daesung Energy

117580 · KOSPI · ₩117580 · 대성에너지

₩6,970 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩9,770

vs the current price (₩6,970)

Enterprise value
₩274B
Equity value
₩269B
WACC
7.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 40% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩6,970, the model needs an operating margin of 1.7% every year (it uses 2.3%).
  • Or revenue growth −6.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Today's P/E is 6.5× against a typical 12.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩9,770
+40.2%
Bull
₩28,253
+305.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.3%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -4.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩977B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩12B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6.7B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
27,500,000
Share price
₩6,970
Market cap
₩192B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩999B₩994B₩1T₩976B₩983B₩997B₩1T₩1T
Growth−2.1%−0.5%2.4%−0.1%0.7%1.5%2.2%3.0%
EBIT₩20B₩21B₩30B₩22B₩23B₩23B₩23B₩24B
EBIT margin2.0%2.1%3.0%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.3%
After-tax EBIT₩15B₩15B₩22B₩16B₩16B₩17B₩17B₩18B
+ Depreciation———₩21B₩22B₩22B₩22B₩23B
− Capital spending₩28B₩32B₩22B₩26B₩27B₩27B₩28B₩28B
− Working capital₩17B−₩46B₩18B₩42M−₩294M−₩634M−₩943M−₩1.3B
Free cash flow———₩11B₩12B₩12B₩13B₩14B
Discount factor———0.9330.8700.8120.7580.707
Present value———₩11B₩10B₩10B₩9.7B₩9.6B

Terminal value ₩317B, worth ₩224B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩13,138 a share)Now 0.53×₩7,9910.61×₩9,3880.71×₩12,8510.98×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,068 a share)Now 6.53×₩8,6048.06×₩13,25412.4×₩32,86030.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩447 a share)Now 15.6×₩3,6058.06×₩5,55312.4×₩13,76730.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.2%₩9,891₩10,944₩12,249₩13,909₩16,093
6.7%₩8,970₩9,831₩10,876₩12,173₩13,824
7.2%₩8,198₩8,915₩9,770₩10,809₩12,098
7.7%₩7,543₩8,147₩8,859₩9,709₩10,742
8.2%₩6,979₩7,495₩8,096₩8,803₩9,648

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩192B
Enterprise value
₩186B
P/E
6.5×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩8,040₩8,490₩8,120₩9,140₩9,150
Market cap₩221B₩233B₩223B₩251B₩252B
P/E9.0×13.4×15.1×206.1×20.1×
P/B0.6×0.7×0.7×0.8×0.8×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.2×0.2×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield3.1%2.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Daesung Energy6.5×0.5×0.2×—3.6%
Korea Electric Power2.3×0.4×0.2×5.7×5.4%
Korea Gas6.0×0.3×0.1×8.6×3.1%
Korea District Heating2.3×0.3×0.2×4.8×8.6%
SGC Energy—0.7×0.2×—3.9%
Samchully3.2×0.2×0.1×—2.5%
Seoul City Gas11.4×0.2×0.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)3.2×0.3×0.2×5.7×3.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Daesung Energy / 대성에너지 / 117580 / KRX:117580

Source: KRX statistical information