GnCenergy지엔씨에너지
119850 · KOSDAQ · ₩119850 · 지엔씨에너지
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩38,207
vs the current price (₩37,450)
- Enterprise value
- ₩509B
- Equity value
- ₩628B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩25,390
- −32.2%
- Base
- ₩38,207
- +2.0%
- Bull
- ₩59,627
- +59.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.8%).
Revenue growth
- 20.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 16.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 9.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩257B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩83B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩40B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩2.6B
- Shares
- 16,448,909
- Share price
- ₩37,450
- Market cap
- ₩616B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩166B | ₩226B | ₩263B | ₩311B | ₩362B | ₩406B | ₩436B | ₩449B |
| Growth | 12.0% | 36.0% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩11B | ₩32B | ₩49B | ₩31B | ₩36B | ₩40B | ₩43B | ₩44B |
| EBIT margin | 6.6% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8B | ₩23B | ₩36B | ₩22B | ₩26B | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.1B | ₩3.6B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.4B | ₩1.6B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.7B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.9B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.4B |
| − Working capital | −₩58B | ₩25B | −₩6.3B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.3B | ₩1.6B | ₩707M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩19B | ₩22B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩30B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩21B |
Terminal value ₩584B, worth ₩409B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩14,858 a share)Now 2.52× | ₩9,0180.61× | ₩13,0690.88× | ₩42,7202.88× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,656 a share)Now 14.1× | ₩5,9972.26× | ₩25,7729.70× | ₩47,15717.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,454 a share)Now 10.8× | ₩7,7982.26× | ₩33,5129.70× | ₩61,32017.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩39,522 | ₩42,201 | ₩45,485 | ₩49,608 | ₩54,940 |
| 6.9% | ₩36,681 | ₩38,856 | ₩41,474 | ₩44,684 | ₩48,715 |
| 7.4% | ₩34,284 | ₩36,080 | ₩38,207 | ₩40,765 | ₩43,903 |
| 7.9% | ₩32,237 | ₩33,739 | ₩35,494 | ₩37,573 | ₩40,074 |
| 8.4% | ₩30,467 | ₩31,738 | ₩33,206 | ₩34,922 | ₩36,955 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩616B
- Enterprise value
- ₩533B
- P/E
- 14.1×
- P/B
- 2.5×
- P/S
- 2.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩30,900 | ₩8,210 | ₩4,255 | ₩3,575 | ₩4,825 |
| Market cap | ₩508B | ₩135B | ₩70B | ₩59B | ₩79B |
| P/E | 12.7× | 3.5× | 6.1× | 2.1× | 18.0× |
| P/B | 2.3× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 1.9× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GnCenergy | 14.1× | 2.5× | 2.4× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 63.5× | 11.6× | 4.3× | 39.3× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 31.8× | 7.2× | 2.9× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.6× | 7.4× | 3.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 117.0× | 14.2× | 2.6× | 61.1× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.9× | 7.6× | 8.5× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.3× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 31.8× | 7.5× | 3.4× | 50.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: GnCenergy / 지엔씨에너지 / 119850 / KRX:119850
Source: KRX statistical information