Golfzon Holdings

121440 · KOSDAQ · ₩121440 · 골프존홀딩스

₩8,110▲ ₩210 (2.66%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩8,059

vs the current price (₩8,110)

Enterprise value
₩564B
Equity value
₩345B
WACC
6.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,750
−66.1%
Base
₩8,059
−0.6%
Bull
₩18,105
+123.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 12%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 20.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩355B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩219B
Shares
42,836,818
Share price
₩8,110
Market cap
₩347B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩427B₩386B₩354B₩319B₩298B₩287B₩287B₩295B
Growth−12.6%−9.6%−8.3%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩53B₩39B₩28B₩38B₩36B₩34B₩34B₩35B
EBIT margin12.4%10.2%7.9%12.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%
After-tax EBIT₩39B₩29B₩20B₩28B₩26B₩25B₩25B₩26B
+ Depreciation———₩3.8B₩3.6B₩3.4B₩3.4B₩3.5B
− Capital spending₩6.2B₩6.8B₩4.5B₩4.8B₩4.5B₩4.3B₩4.3B₩4.4B
− Working capital−₩7.1B₩173B₩3.6B−₩7.2B−₩4.3B−₩2.1B−₩117M₩1.7B
Free cash flow———₩34B₩29B₩26B₩24B₩23B
Discount factor———0.9430.8880.8370.7890.744
Present value———₩32B₩26B₩22B₩19B₩17B

Terminal value ₩602B, worth ₩448B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩17,412 a share)Now 0.47×₩3,9290.23×₩5,3210.31×₩10,4680.60×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩365 a share)Now 22.2×₩5591.53×₩1,2473.41×₩3,4219.36×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩855 a share)Now 9.49×₩1,3081.53×₩2,9173.41×₩8,0029.36×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.1%₩8,798₩10,256₩12,183₩14,852₩18,794
5.6%₩7,319₩8,424₩9,834₩11,700₩14,283
6.1%₩6,130₩6,990₩8,059₩9,425₩11,230
6.6%₩5,153₩5,837₩6,670₩7,705₩9,026
7.1%₩4,336₩4,890₩5,553₩6,359₩7,360

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩347B
Enterprise value
₩547B
P/E
22.2×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,985₩3,465₩3,795₩4,600₩8,930
Market cap₩214B₩148B₩163B₩197B₩383B
P/E8.9×3.4×4.3×2.3×2.8×
P/B0.3×0.2×0.2×0.3×0.6×
P/S0.6×0.4×0.4×0.4×0.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield5.0%7.2%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Golfzon Holdings22.2×0.5×1.0×—3.1%
Samsung C&T18.8×0.5×1.2×—0.9%
POSCO International10.6×1.3×0.3×—3.7%
ISC45.3×6.0×12.6×—0.5%
Youngone5.1×0.7×0.7×—3.1%
Dong SUH Companies18.9×1.6×5.1×—4.2%
Shinsegae14.4×0.5×0.3×—2.0%
Similar companies (median)16.6×1.0×1.0×—2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Golfzon Holdings / 골프존홀딩스 / 121440 / KRX:121440

Source: KRX statistical information