Golfzon Holdings골프존홀딩스
121440 · KOSDAQ · ₩121440 · 골프존홀딩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,059
vs the current price (₩8,110)
- Enterprise value
- ₩564B
- Equity value
- ₩345B
- WACC
- 6.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,750
- −66.1%
- Base
- ₩8,059
- −0.6%
- Bull
- ₩18,105
- +123.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 20.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩355B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩219B
- Shares
- 42,836,818
- Share price
- ₩8,110
- Market cap
- ₩347B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩427B | ₩386B | ₩354B | ₩319B | ₩298B | ₩287B | ₩287B | ₩295B |
| Growth | −12.6% | −9.6% | −8.3% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩53B | ₩39B | ₩28B | ₩38B | ₩36B | ₩34B | ₩34B | ₩35B |
| EBIT margin | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩39B | ₩29B | ₩20B | ₩28B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.8B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.2B | ₩6.8B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.4B |
| − Working capital | −₩7.1B | ₩173B | ₩3.6B | −₩7.2B | −₩4.3B | −₩2.1B | −₩117M | ₩1.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩34B | ₩29B | ₩26B | ₩24B | ₩23B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.943 | 0.888 | 0.837 | 0.789 | 0.744 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩32B | ₩26B | ₩22B | ₩19B | ₩17B |
Terminal value ₩602B, worth ₩448B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩17,412 a share)Now 0.47× | ₩3,9290.23× | ₩5,3210.31× | ₩10,4680.60× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩365 a share)Now 22.2× | ₩5591.53× | ₩1,2473.41× | ₩3,4219.36× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩855 a share)Now 9.49× | ₩1,3081.53× | ₩2,9173.41× | ₩8,0029.36× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | ₩8,798 | ₩10,256 | ₩12,183 | ₩14,852 | ₩18,794 |
| 5.6% | ₩7,319 | ₩8,424 | ₩9,834 | ₩11,700 | ₩14,283 |
| 6.1% | ₩6,130 | ₩6,990 | ₩8,059 | ₩9,425 | ₩11,230 |
| 6.6% | ₩5,153 | ₩5,837 | ₩6,670 | ₩7,705 | ₩9,026 |
| 7.1% | ₩4,336 | ₩4,890 | ₩5,553 | ₩6,359 | ₩7,360 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩347B
- Enterprise value
- ₩547B
- P/E
- 22.2×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,985 | ₩3,465 | ₩3,795 | ₩4,600 | ₩8,930 |
| Market cap | ₩214B | ₩148B | ₩163B | ₩197B | ₩383B |
| P/E | 8.9× | 3.4× | 4.3× | 2.3× | 2.8× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 5.0% | 7.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golfzon Holdings | 22.2× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 3.1% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Golfzon Holdings / 골프존홀딩스 / 121440 / KRX:121440
Source: KRX statistical information