YG Entertainment와이지엔터테인먼트
122870 · KOSDAQ · ₩122870 · 와이지엔터테인먼트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩88,289
vs the current price (₩39,250)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.4T
- Equity value
- ₩1.7T
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 125% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩39,250, the model needs an operating margin of 4.9% every year (it uses 13.2%).
- Or revenue growth −23.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩658B, operating profit ₩75B (11.4% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩607B, operating profit ₩73B (12.0% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Margins ranged from −5.6% to 15.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 21.7× against a typical 26.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩60,346
- +53.7%
- Base
- ₩88,289
- +124.9%
- Bull
- ₩134,676
- +243.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (13.2%).
Revenue growth
- 11.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 13.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -2.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩620B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩231B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩196B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩143B
- Shares
- 18,691,049
- Share price
- ₩39,250
- Market cap
- ₩734B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩569B | ₩365B | ₩545B | ₩692B | ₩758B | ₩814B | ₩856B | ₩882B |
| Growth | 45.5% | −35.9% | 49.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩87B | −₩21B | ₩71B | ₩91B | ₩100B | ₩107B | ₩113B | ₩116B |
| EBIT margin | 15.3% | −5.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩63B | −₩15B | ₩52B | ₩66B | ₩73B | ₩78B | ₩82B | ₩84B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩33B | ₩36B | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B |
| − Capital spending | ₩57B | ₩23B | ₩7.6B | ₩41B | ₩45B | ₩48B | ₩51B | ₩52B |
| − Working capital | −₩112B | ₩25B | −₩12B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.2B | −₩889M | −₩540M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩60B | ₩66B | ₩70B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩56B | ₩57B | ₩57B | ₩55B | ₩53B |
Terminal value ₩1.5T, worth ₩1.1T today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩27,852 a share)Now 1.41× | ₩42,9001.54× | ₩66,2732.38× | ₩94,3073.39× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,812 a share)Now 21.7× | ₩23,97513.2× | ₩48,55626.8× | ₩115,03763.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,152 a share)Now 34.1× | ₩15,24313.2× | ₩30,87126.8× | ₩73,13763.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩90,762 | ₩97,435 | ₩105,657 | ₩116,040 | ₩129,563 |
| 6.8% | ₩84,085 | ₩89,512 | ₩96,068 | ₩104,147 | ₩114,348 |
| 7.3% | ₩78,470 | ₩82,956 | ₩88,289 | ₩94,731 | ₩102,669 |
| 7.8% | ₩73,682 | ₩77,443 | ₩81,852 | ₩87,092 | ₩93,423 |
| 8.3% | ₩69,553 | ₩72,743 | ₩76,439 | ₩80,771 | ₩85,921 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩734B
- Enterprise value
- ₩497B
- P/E
- 21.7×
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 1.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩69,400 | ₩45,800 | ₩50,900 | ₩43,850 | ₩55,700 |
| Market cap | ₩1.3T | ₩856B | ₩951B | ₩820B | ₩1T |
| P/E | 35.2× | 46.2× | 15.5× | 24.3× | 156.4× |
| P/B | 2.5× | 1.8× | 2.0× | 2.0× | 2.8× |
| P/S | 2.4× | 2.3× | 1.7× | 2.1× | 2.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.4% | 0.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YG Entertainment | 21.7× | 1.4× | 1.2× | — | 0.8% |
| HYBE | — | 2.0× | 1.9× | — | 0.3% |
| SM Entertainment | 13.7× | 1.7× | 1.4× | — | 2.1% |
| JYP Entertainment | 12.7× | 2.1× | 1.7× | 7.1× | 2.3% |
| CJ CGV | — | 1.1× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Studio Dragon | 21.8× | 0.9× | 1.2× | — | 0.0% |
| The Pinkfong | 4.2× | 0.8× | 1.9× | 2.0× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 13.2× | 1.4× | 1.5× | 4.6× | 0.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: YG Entertainment / 와이지엔터테인먼트 / 122870 / KRX:122870
Source: KRX statistical information