YG Entertainment

122870 · KOSDAQ · ₩122870 · 와이지엔터테인먼트

₩39,250▼ ₩550 (1.38%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩88,289

vs the current price (₩39,250)

Enterprise value
₩1.4T
Equity value
₩1.7T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 125% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩39,250, the model needs an operating margin of 4.9% every year (it uses 13.2%).
  • Or revenue growth −23.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩658B, operating profit ₩75B (11.4% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩607B, operating profit ₩73B (12.0% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Margins ranged from −5.6% to 15.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 21.7× against a typical 26.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩60,346
+53.7%
Base
₩88,289
+124.9%
Bull
₩134,676
+243.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (13.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 11.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 13.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -2.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩620B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩231B
+ Stakes and investments
₩196B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩143B
Shares
18,691,049
Share price
₩39,250
Market cap
₩734B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩569B₩365B₩545B₩692B₩758B₩814B₩856B₩882B
Growth45.5%−35.9%49.4%11.7%9.5%7.4%5.2%3.0%
EBIT₩87B−₩21B₩71B₩91B₩100B₩107B₩113B₩116B
EBIT margin15.3%−5.6%13.1%13.2%13.2%13.2%13.2%13.2%
After-tax EBIT₩63B−₩15B₩52B₩66B₩73B₩78B₩82B₩84B
+ Depreciation———₩33B₩36B₩39B₩41B₩42B
− Capital spending₩57B₩23B₩7.6B₩41B₩45B₩48B₩51B₩52B
− Working capital−₩112B₩25B−₩12B−₩1.5B−₩1.4B−₩1.2B−₩889M−₩540M
Free cash flow———₩60B₩66B₩70B₩73B₩75B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩56B₩57B₩57B₩55B₩53B

Terminal value ₩1.5T, worth ₩1.1T today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩27,852 a share)Now 1.41×₩42,9001.54×₩66,2732.38×₩94,3073.39×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,812 a share)Now 21.7×₩23,97513.2×₩48,55626.8×₩115,03763.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,152 a share)Now 34.1×₩15,24313.2×₩30,87126.8×₩73,13763.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩90,762₩97,435₩105,657₩116,040₩129,563
6.8%₩84,085₩89,512₩96,068₩104,147₩114,348
7.3%₩78,470₩82,956₩88,289₩94,731₩102,669
7.8%₩73,682₩77,443₩81,852₩87,092₩93,423
8.3%₩69,553₩72,743₩76,439₩80,771₩85,921

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩734B
Enterprise value
₩497B
P/E
21.7×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
1.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩69,400₩45,800₩50,900₩43,850₩55,700
Market cap₩1.3T₩856B₩951B₩820B₩1T
P/E35.2×46.2×15.5×24.3×156.4×
P/B2.5×1.8×2.0×2.0×2.8×
P/S2.4×2.3×1.7×2.1×2.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.4%0.5%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
YG Entertainment21.7×1.4×1.2×—0.8%
HYBE—2.0×1.9×—0.3%
SM Entertainment13.7×1.7×1.4×—2.1%
JYP Entertainment12.7×2.1×1.7×7.1×2.3%
CJ CGV—1.1×0.3×—0.0%
Studio Dragon21.8×0.9×1.2×—0.0%
The Pinkfong4.2×0.8×1.9×2.0×0.0%
Similar companies (median)13.2×1.4×1.5×4.6×0.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: YG Entertainment / 와이지엔터테인먼트 / 122870 / KRX:122870

Source: KRX statistical information