Msdi

123010 · KOSDAQ · ₩123010 · MSDI

₩3,945▲ ₩350 (9.74%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩203B
Equity value
−₩206B
WACC
7.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,945, the model needs an operating margin of 11.9% every year (it uses −19.6%).
  • Margins ranged from −35.1% to 0.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−19.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (33% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (33% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (33% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (33% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (33% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -19.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 6.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 36.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.61

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.41, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩38B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩6.3B
+ Stakes and investments
₩3.8B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
20,215,767
Share price
₩3,945
Market cap
₩80B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩32B₩39B₩38B₩47B₩57B₩65B₩70B₩72B
Growth97.7%21.9%−2.5%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT−₩10B−₩6.9B₩208M−₩9.3B−₩11B−₩13B−₩14B−₩14B
EBIT margin−31.4%−17.5%0.5%−19.6%−19.6%−19.6%−19.6%−19.6%
After-tax EBIT−₩7.3B−₩5B₩151M−₩6.7B−₩8.1B−₩9.2B−₩10B−₩10B
+ Depreciation———₩2.4B₩2.8B₩3.2B₩3.5B₩3.6B
− Capital spending₩2.9B₩1.8B₩2B₩2.9B₩3.5B₩4B₩4.4B₩4.5B
− Working capital−₩10B−₩7.8B−₩1.2B₩3.4B₩3.4B₩2.9B₩2B₩762M
Free cash flow———−₩11B−₩12B−₩13B−₩13B−₩12B
Discount factor———0.9330.8700.8110.7570.706
Present value———−₩10B−₩11B−₩10B−₩9.7B−₩8.4B

Terminal value −₩218B, worth −₩154B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,510 a share)Now 2.61×₩1,4310.95×₩2,3871.58×₩9,9496.59×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.2%—————
6.7%—————
7.2%—————
7.7%—————
8.2%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩80B
Enterprise value
₩86B
P/E
—
P/B
2.6×
P/S
2.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,195₩2,290₩3,236₩4,483₩10,633
Market cap₩44B₩46B₩65B₩91B₩215B
P/E—————
P/B1.7×1.5×1.4×1.7×7.9×
P/S1.2×1.2×2.0×5.6×23.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Msdi—2.6×2.1×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics96.8×9.5×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan39.2×5.5×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems71.2×2.8×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.1×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys35.4×8.3×5.4×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics44.8×7.0×5.0×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)42.0×6.3×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Msdi / MSDI / 123010 / KRX:123010

Source: KRX statistical information