TC Materials티씨머티리얼즈
125020 · KOSDAQ · ₩125020 · 티씨머티리얼즈
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,016
vs the current price (₩4,315)
- Enterprise value
- ₩56B
- Equity value
- ₩36B
- WACC
- 7.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 76% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,315, the model needs an operating margin of 5.1% every year (it uses 2.9%).
- Or revenue growth +42.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩1,016
- −76.5%
- Bull
- ₩5,718
- +32.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.9%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 2.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 10.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 10.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.74
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 76 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.61, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩380B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩20B
- Shares
- 35,038,550
- Share price
- ₩4,315
- Market cap
- ₩151B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩299B | ₩391B | ₩403B | ₩415B | ₩427B | ₩440B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.8B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| EBIT margin | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.9B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.7B | ₩9B | ₩9.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| − Capital spending | ₩30B | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩43B | ₩44B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| Free cash flow | — | −₩772M | −₩795M | −₩819M | −₩844M | −₩869M |
| Discount factor | — | 0.929 | 0.862 | 0.801 | 0.743 | 0.690 |
| Present value | — | −₩717M | −₩686M | −₩656M | −₩627M | −₩600M |
Terminal value ₩86B, worth ₩59B today: 106% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | ₩1,242 | ₩1,346 | ₩1,471 | ₩1,624 | ₩1,817 |
| 7.2% | ₩1,048 | ₩1,127 | ₩1,220 | ₩1,333 | ₩1,471 |
| 7.7% | ₩884 | ₩945 | ₩1,016 | ₩1,099 | ₩1,199 |
| 8.2% | ₩744 | ₩791 | ₩845 | ₩908 | ₩982 |
| 8.7% | ₩623 | ₩660 | ₩701 | ₩749 | ₩803 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩151B
- Enterprise value
- ₩171B
- P/E
- 20.0×
- P/B
- 1.8×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,060 |
| Market cap | ₩142B |
| P/E | 85.0× |
| P/B | 1.8× |
| P/S | 0.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TC Materials | 20.0× | 1.8× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: TC Materials / 티씨머티리얼즈 / 125020 / KRX:125020
Source: KRX statistical information