Amogreentech

125210 · KOSDAQ · ₩125210 · 아모그린텍

₩5,590▼ ₩30 (0.53%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,623

vs the current price (₩5,590)

Enterprise value
₩69B
Equity value
₩27B
WACC
6.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 71% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩5,590, the model needs an operating margin of 9.1% every year (it uses 5.6%).
  • Or revenue growth +23.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Today's P/E is 17.3× against a typical 20.2× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩1,623
−71.0%
Bull
₩6,630
+18.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 8.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 28%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.69

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.54, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩127B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩42B
Shares
16,496,790
Share price
₩5,590
Market cap
₩92B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩148B₩129B₩131B₩123B₩122B₩122B₩124B₩128B
Growth3.8%−12.9%1.6%−2.8%−1.3%0.1%1.6%3.0%
EBIT₩12B₩4.5B₩9.4B₩6.9B₩6.8B₩6.8B₩6.9B₩7.1B
EBIT margin8.3%3.5%7.2%5.6%5.6%5.6%5.6%5.6%
After-tax EBIT₩8.9B₩3.2B₩6.8B₩5B₩4.9B₩5B₩5B₩5.2B
+ Depreciation———₩8.8B₩8.6B₩8.7B₩8.8B₩9.1B
− Capital spending₩9B₩11B₩15B₩11B₩11B₩11B₩11B₩11B
− Working capital₩11B−₩5.7B−₩4.4B−₩995M−₩449M₩34M₩546M₩1B
Free cash flow———₩3.8B₩3.2B₩2.7B₩2.3B₩1.8B
Discount factor———0.9380.8800.8250.7740.726
Present value———₩3.5B₩2.8B₩2.2B₩1.7B₩1.3B

Terminal value ₩79B, worth ₩57B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5,132 a share)Now 1.09×₩6,8821.34×₩14,0812.74×₩25,6254.99×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩323 a share)Now 17.3×₩4,84515.0×₩6,52320.2×₩13,30141.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩127 a share)Now 43.9×₩1,91415.0×₩2,57620.2×₩5,25441.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.6%₩2,133₩2,434₩2,815₩3,316₩4,007
6.1%₩1,654₩1,874₩2,146₩2,492₩2,945
6.6%₩1,260₩1,425₩1,623₩1,868₩2,179
7.1%₩932₩1,056₩1,203₩1,381₩1,599
7.6%₩654₩748₩859₩989₩1,146

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩92B
Enterprise value
₩134B
P/E
17.3×
P/B
1.1×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,070₩5,870₩12,140₩11,800₩11,900
Market cap₩100B₩97B₩200B₩195B₩196B
P/E17.0×45.7×15.4×17.1×73.1×
P/B1.2×1.4×2.9×3.5×4.7×
P/S0.8×0.8×1.4×1.4×1.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Amogreentech17.3×1.1×0.7×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics95.9×9.4×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan37.2×5.2×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems69.5×2.7×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek12.4×1.3×0.3×—0.5%
Daeduck Electronics44.9×7.0×5.1×—0.4%
Isupetasys33.8×7.9×5.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)41.1×6.1×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Amogreentech / 아모그린텍 / 125210 / KRX:125210

Source: KRX statistical information