Vina Tech

126340 · KOSDAQ · ₩126340 · 비나텍

₩94,200▼ ₩5,900 (5.89%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩31B
Equity value
−₩126B
WACC
8.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩94,200, the model needs an operating margin of 61.4% every year (it uses 5.3%).
  • Margins ranged from −13.5% to 13.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 32.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 40.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.84

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.76, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩107B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩98B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.8B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
7,180,414
Share price
₩94,200
Market cap
₩676B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩55B₩60B₩82B₩112B₩117B₩122B₩126B₩130B
Growth−22.2%8.4%38.0%5.2%4.6%4.1%3.5%3.0%
EBIT₩3B−₩8.1B₩1.8B₩5.9B₩6.2B₩6.5B₩6.7B₩6.9B
EBIT margin5.5%−13.5%2.2%5.3%5.3%5.3%5.3%5.3%
After-tax EBIT₩2.2B−₩5.8B₩1.3B₩4.3B₩4.5B₩4.7B₩4.9B₩5B
+ Depreciation———₩37B₩38B₩40B₩41B₩42B
− Capital spending₩12B₩45B₩19B₩46B₩48B₩50B₩51B₩53B
− Working capital−₩12B₩7.3B₩17B₩2.2B₩2.1B₩1.9B₩1.7B₩1.5B
Free cash flow———−₩7B−₩7.1B−₩7.1B−₩7.1B−₩7.1B
Discount factor———0.9260.8570.7930.7340.679
Present value———−₩6.5B−₩6B−₩5.6B−₩5.2B−₩4.8B

Terminal value −₩4.8B, worth −₩3.2B today: 10% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩12,581 a share)Now 7.49×₩30,8232.45×₩62,1004.94×₩93,7697.45×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.0%—————
7.5%—————
8.0%—————
8.5%—————
9.0%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩676B
Enterprise value
₩772B
P/E
—
P/B
7.5×
P/S
6.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩71,900₩28,500₩44,343₩36,427₩41,813
Market cap₩516B₩205B₩318B₩262B₩300B
P/E——161.1×22.4×40.1×
P/B6.5×2.4×5.0×4.3×6.0×
P/S6.3×3.4×5.8×3.7×6.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Vina Tech—7.5×6.3×—0.0%
LG Energy Solution—3.8×3.2×—0.0%
Samsung SDI1,162.4×1.8×3.1×—0.0%
POSCO Future M323.6×3.4×5.0×—0.2%
Ecopro BM203.3×5.0×3.9×—0.1%
L&F—4.3×1.2×14.9×0.0%
DN Automotive6.1×1.0×0.6×—2.5%
Similar companies (median)263.5×3.6×3.2×14.9×0.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Vina Tech / 비나텍 / 126340 / KRX:126340

Source: KRX statistical information