Vina Tech비나텍
126340 · KOSDAQ · ₩126340 · 비나텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩31B
- Equity value
- −₩126B
- WACC
- 8.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩94,200, the model needs an operating margin of 61.4% every year (it uses 5.3%).
- Margins ranged from −13.5% to 13.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.3%).
Revenue growth
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 32.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 40.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.84
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.76, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩107B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩98B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 7,180,414
- Share price
- ₩94,200
- Market cap
- ₩676B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩55B | ₩60B | ₩82B | ₩112B | ₩117B | ₩122B | ₩126B | ₩130B |
| Growth | −22.2% | 8.4% | 38.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3B | −₩8.1B | ₩1.8B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B |
| EBIT margin | 5.5% | −13.5% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.2B | −₩5.8B | ₩1.3B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩40B | ₩41B | ₩42B |
| − Capital spending | ₩12B | ₩45B | ₩19B | ₩46B | ₩48B | ₩50B | ₩51B | ₩53B |
| − Working capital | −₩12B | ₩7.3B | ₩17B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩7B | −₩7.1B | −₩7.1B | −₩7.1B | −₩7.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.793 | 0.734 | 0.679 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩6.5B | −₩6B | −₩5.6B | −₩5.2B | −₩4.8B |
Terminal value −₩4.8B, worth −₩3.2B today: 10% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,581 a share)Now 7.49× | ₩30,8232.45× | ₩62,1004.94× | ₩93,7697.45× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩676B
- Enterprise value
- ₩772B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 7.5×
- P/S
- 6.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩71,900 | ₩28,500 | ₩44,343 | ₩36,427 | ₩41,813 |
| Market cap | ₩516B | ₩205B | ₩318B | ₩262B | ₩300B |
| P/E | — | — | 161.1× | 22.4× | 40.1× |
| P/B | 6.5× | 2.4× | 5.0× | 4.3× | 6.0× |
| P/S | 6.3× | 3.4× | 5.8× | 3.7× | 6.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vina Tech | — | 7.5× | 6.3× | — | 0.0% |
| LG Energy Solution | — | 3.8× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung SDI | 1,162.4× | 1.8× | 3.1× | — | 0.0% |
| POSCO Future M | 323.6× | 3.4× | 5.0× | — | 0.2% |
| Ecopro BM | 203.3× | 5.0× | 3.9× | — | 0.1% |
| L&F | — | 4.3× | 1.2× | 14.9× | 0.0% |
| DN Automotive | 6.1× | 1.0× | 0.6× | — | 2.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 263.5× | 3.6× | 3.2× | 14.9× | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Vina Tech / 비나텍 / 126340 / KRX:126340
Source: KRX statistical information