HyVISION System하이비젼시스템
126700 · KOSDAQ · ₩126700 · 하이비젼시스템
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,196
vs the current price (₩10,740)
- Enterprise value
- ₩78B
- Equity value
- ₩137B
- WACC
- 7.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩6,124
- −43.0%
- Base
- ₩9,196
- −14.4%
- Bull
- ₩14,717
- +37.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.9%).
Revenue growth
- -4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 24.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.65
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.47, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩185B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩68B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩17B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩25B
- Shares
- 14,942,112
- Share price
- ₩10,740
- Market cap
- ₩160B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩348B | ₩312B | ₩171B | ₩177B | ₩172B | ₩170B | ₩172B | ₩177B |
| Growth | 76.2% | −10.4% | −45.2% | −4.7% | −2.8% | −0.8% | 1.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩59B | ₩31B | −₩33B | ₩8.7B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.7B |
| EBIT margin | 16.9% | 9.9% | −19.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩43B | ₩22B | −₩24B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩7.1B | ₩6.9B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.2B | ₩9B | ₩19B | ₩9B | ₩8.8B | ₩8.7B | ₩8.8B | ₩9B |
| − Working capital | ₩30B | −₩56B | −₩11B | −₩2.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩341M | ₩465M | ₩1.3B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.5B | ₩5.4B | ₩4.5B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.929 | 0.862 | 0.801 | 0.744 | 0.691 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6B | ₩4.7B | ₩3.6B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.1B |
Terminal value ₩85B, worth ₩58B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩16,497 a share)Now 0.65× | ₩13,6230.83× | ₩20,7681.26× | ₩26,6181.61× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩305 a share)Now 35.2× | ₩1,6565.43× | ₩2,1437.03× | ₩5,94919.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | ₩9,752 | ₩9,995 | ₩10,288 | ₩10,649 | ₩11,104 |
| 7.2% | ₩9,284 | ₩9,469 | ₩9,689 | ₩9,954 | ₩10,279 |
| 7.7% | ₩8,886 | ₩9,029 | ₩9,196 | ₩9,393 | ₩9,630 |
| 8.2% | ₩8,544 | ₩8,655 | ₩8,783 | ₩8,931 | ₩9,106 |
| 8.7% | ₩8,247 | ₩8,333 | ₩8,432 | ₩8,544 | ₩8,675 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩160B
- Enterprise value
- ₩92B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩15,930 | ₩17,410 | ₩19,320 | ₩18,200 | ₩23,800 |
| Market cap | ₩238B | ₩260B | ₩289B | ₩272B | ₩356B |
| P/E | — | 6.6× | 6.3× | 11.3× | 8.2× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 1.0× | 1.2× | 1.4× | 2.0× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.4× | 1.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: HyVISION System / 하이비젼시스템 / 126700 / KRX:126700
Source: KRX statistical information