JNK Global제이엔케이글로벌
126880 · KOSDAQ · ₩126880 · 제이엔케이글로벌
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩201
vs the current price (₩2,485)
- Enterprise value
- −₩22B
- Equity value
- ₩4.7B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 92% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,485, the model needs an operating margin of 4.6% every year (it uses 2.2%).
- Or revenue growth +35.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 18.8× against a typical 18.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩201
- −91.9%
- Bull
- ₩3,335
- +34.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.2%).
Revenue growth
- -9.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 10.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -3.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.16, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩205B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩27B
- Shares
- 23,168,123
- Share price
- ₩2,485
- Market cap
- ₩58B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩167B | ₩139B | ₩147B | ₩186B | ₩174B | ₩169B | ₩169B | ₩174B |
| Growth | −15.4% | −16.8% | 6.2% | −9.3% | −6.2% | −3.1% | −0.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.1B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.2B | ₩4.1B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B |
| EBIT margin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.3B | ₩3B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.7B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.8B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩14B | ₩23B | ₩11B | ₩20B | ₩19B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| − Working capital | −₩69B | ₩14B | ₩21B | ₩590M | ₩357M | ₩167M | ₩5.2M | −₩157M |
| Free cash flow | ₩60B | −₩32B | −₩28B | −₩15B | −₩14B | −₩14B | −₩14B | −₩14B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩14B | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩10B | −₩9.6B |
Terminal value ₩50B, worth ₩35B today: -157% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,328 a share)Now 0.30× | ₩3,1650.38× | ₩7,1370.86× | ₩11,3991.37× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩132 a share)Now 18.8× | ₩1300.98× | ₩2,48718.8× | ₩4,05930.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩160 | ₩344 | ₩569 | ₩852 | ₩1,219 |
| 6.9% | ₩30 | ₩181 | ₩363 | ₩586 | ₩866 |
| 7.4% | — | ₩51 | ₩201 | ₩381 | ₩602 |
| 7.9% | — | — | ₩72 | ₩220 | ₩399 |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | ₩92 | ₩239 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩58B
- Enterprise value
- ₩30B
- P/E
- 18.8×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 6.5×
- Dividend yield
- 2.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,830 | ₩3,595 | ₩5,350 | ₩5,140 | ₩5,940 |
| Market cap | ₩89B | ₩83B | ₩124B | ₩119B | ₩138B |
| P/E | 30.4× | 0.9× | 32.8× | 16.1× | 27.9× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.4× | 1.1× | 1.1× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.6× | 1.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.8× | 6.2× | 10.5× | 15.9× | 38.2× |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | 1.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JNK Global | 18.8× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 6.5× | 2.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 217.2× | 4.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 87.4× | 26.0× | 35.2× | 78.7× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,189.7× | 14.6× | 38.2× | 2,291.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,610.6× | 59.1× | 174.0× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.5× | 6.9× | 11.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Wonik IPS | 28.2× | 4.5× | 5.3× | 42.7× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 152.3× | 10.7× | 23.4× | 78.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: JNK Global / 제이엔케이글로벌 / 126880 / KRX:126880
Source: KRX statistical information