Finecircuit화인써키트
127980 · KOSDAQ · ₩127980 · 화인써키트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,296
vs the current price (₩2,650)
- Enterprise value
- ₩26B
- Equity value
- ₩15B
- WACC
- 6.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 51% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,650, the model needs an operating margin of 5.0% every year (it uses 3.8%).
- Margins ranged from −1.8% to 6.4% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 75% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 654.8× against a typical 25.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩1,296
- −51.1%
- Bull
- ₩5,487
- +107.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.8%).
Revenue growth
- 8.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 38.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩69B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩11B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6.6B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩6B
- Shares
- 11,840,684
- Share price
- ₩2,650
- Market cap
- ₩31B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩69B | ₩86B | ₩82B | ₩75B | ₩80B | ₩84B | ₩88B | ₩91B |
| Growth | 7.5% | 24.1% | −4.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.3B | ₩4.5B | −₩1.5B | ₩2.8B | ₩3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B |
| EBIT margin | 6.2% | 5.3% | −1.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.1B | ₩3.3B | −₩1.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.9B | ₩2B | ₩1.6B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B |
| − Working capital | ₩32B | −₩10B | −₩18B | ₩2.2B | ₩2B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.4B | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩605M | −₩301M | ₩57M | ₩493M | ₩932M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.939 | 0.882 | 0.828 | 0.777 | 0.730 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩568M | −₩265M | ₩48M | ₩383M | ₩680M |
Terminal value ₩35B, worth ₩26B today: 99% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,318 a share)Now 0.80× | ₩3,3391.01× | ₩6,4021.93× | ₩12,8803.88× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4 a share)Now 654.8× | ₩389.47× | ₩10225.1× | ₩24159.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩314 a share)Now 8.43× | ₩2,9789.47× | ₩7,88725.1× | ₩18,70159.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | ₩1,890 | ₩1,962 | ₩2,051 | ₩2,167 | ₩2,324 |
| 6.0% | ₩1,555 | ₩1,588 | ₩1,626 | ₩1,672 | ₩1,729 |
| 6.5% | ₩1,282 | ₩1,290 | ₩1,296 | ₩1,301 | ₩1,305 |
| 7.0% | ₩1,056 | ₩1,046 | ₩1,033 | ₩1,014 | ₩988 |
| 7.5% | ₩865 | ₩845 | ₩819 | ₩785 | ₩742 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩31B
- Enterprise value
- ₩42B
- P/E
- 654.8×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 6.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩6,000 | ₩5,900 | ₩8,130 |
| Market cap | ₩71B | ₩70B | ₩96B |
| P/E | — | 15.4× | 21.3× |
| P/B | 1.9× | 1.5× | 2.3× |
| P/S | 0.9× | 0.8× | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.8% | 5.9% | — |
Loading data for this company — check back soon
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finecircuit | 654.8× | 0.8× | 0.5× | — | 6.4% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Finecircuit / 화인써키트 / 127980 / KRX:127980
Source: KRX statistical information